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The following article was published in our article directory on March 22, 2011.
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Article Category: Advice
Author Name: xia zihui
The gulf states into street movement for the Middle East this hot zone's most stable area
Source: China Daily nets 2011 March 22 09:33 me two sentences (0) copy link print medium sized even in large at the moment of mubarak after his resignation, I'm afraid nobody would have thought that one of the gulf six monarchy bahrain, will become the next round of Middle East street movement HanWen hot spots, after all, and BingGe here developed economy, perfect, since the gulf benefits the earliest oil-producing countries, is also the gulf financial center, and in the first round, is near incident improvement of people's life, reduce prices and increasing employment and against corruption as the main appeal, Tunisia and Egypt, and beginning to yemen, Algeria, Jordan, events, either cause comes from this.
However bahrain bloodshed is really happened, but it was so extreme army tanks in the way. Although the two future situation eased, troops leave, the demonstrators also moved "no negotiations" malicious words, start and Sacramento representing, appointed by the prince sahlman - this - issa, harry method, the dialogue, the original intends to conduct is delayed, but also a general strike this have stable monarchy in bahrain, could not have escaped this round mass movements storm, really made many by surprise.
As is known to all, bahrain is "a member of the gulf states", and Saudi Arabia, the united Arab emirates, Qatar, Kuwait, Oman, bahrain these six gulf Arab countries, with a monarchy Middle East oil production and output, and most downsizing mecca and medina etc islamic holy places and dubai, ABU dhabi, financial center, was Manama is believed to be the center of the Arab world, also be and cornerstone of the most stable as the Middle East after world war ii, where several rounds of near eastern experienced political, social upheaval, these six countries have always can stay, although cannot say, but it did change is constant at least. Now the region rare appearance of bahrain, of course people fight street opposition to know, there will be the next bahrain? If this is what a country?
To be cognizant of this, you have to understand, why bahrain will appear the scale of the opposition fight.
Bahrain is a area of only 665 square kilometers island, population of about 65 million, among arabs 60%, national for muslims, but the majority Shiite accounted for about 70%. For historical bahrain is part of basra province Arab empire, and thus the basra province today inherited in the centre of Iraq, similar to that most national believes in shia Islam, but regime but master in the believe in sunni Islam to the ruling class hands. To this, the shia common, they think, expressed disappointment on their majority, but the number in employment, social services, housing and utilities and other aspects of the discriminatory treatment, has been by royal and government dissatisfaction.
And more conservative than the other five countries overseas, bahrain seems the most rich modern national flavor: the country at least since 1999, including senate with house and senate representing bahrain five provinces, senators by the king appointed, the house has 40 seats, senators by democratically elected, not only such, entering the 21st century, bahrain has become the only allowed six nations gulf state of women's political participation.
But obviously more Shiite opponents hope. In their view, the so-called "political modernization" in bahrain is but a vase, 40 seats in the house, the Shiite islamic nation of harmonious society accounts for only 18 seats, at a disadvantage, and the house can't decide cabinet and prime minister candidate, the current prime minister is. The king hamad bin isa al-khalifa. Issa. O le harry method real uncle harry method. The hittite. Schumann. O le harry method, was born in 1935, he is greater than the king karate moves she 15 and ruling has 40 years, Shiite hope through promoting reform, the monarchy to their proportion of the population of political and economic rights proportion. Because of this, although started late, but bahrain anti-government movement from the start, skip economic demands, directly to the core, and the special problems of sectarian power contrast, and bahrain as beauty's fifth fleet headquarters is located, the Arab world and the United States against Iran forward-edge position strategic position, make royal and opposition in delicate political balance, is difficult to flash points, however, also hard boiled thoroughly.
In the other five countries, and Saudi Arabia country, conservatives and the royal powerful, and the two most important is Muslim holy city, once located, become major unrest next bahrain's low probability; Kuwait since after the gulf war social appear many new atmosphere, and in early 2006 is through the palace coups completed a political reform, the national assembly, the election has had the election and women be elected, long-term social contradictions leisurely release and ease, short-term see unlikely spiked again and sharp; Qatar and Saudi Arabia, neither like nor a political party, but parliament social freedom is higher however, women in six countries of freedom in other fields, some in several countries in the entertainment consumption, ban Qatar also unimpeded, social contradictions not outstanding. Not only such, the three countries of the sectarian and ethnic structure also smoothly, sunni Arab an absolute majority of citizens proportion of the Shiite, citizens less than 30% (Kuwait) at most only 6%, the least (Qatar), also hard to come by, bahrain that sectarian rivalries.
The united Arab emirates and Oman's situation is more complicated.
The united Arab emirates is composed of seven emirates, each emirate national coalition of uneven, the chief's dominant also have, however, and domestic foreign workers more than half the countryside-where proportion, in recent years has been six by human rights in the most concerned. But the country's largest social risks, is "bubble economy" once burst, foreign workers had widespread treatment problem worse, may cause of unrest, instability, not only is the economy, and the lack of local foundations and could cause major international attention, but it is difficult to reach the local political, social life the kernel.
Oman has long after the second world war erupted, now the state department of civil war between Sudan's and Oman Muscat merger and into, kingdom moshe district, social contradictions have deep foundation's history, often happened social event, but still struggle without the constitution, no parliament, no election, no political party, the lagging economic development in six of the kingdom, such a barrier, the outside change is difficult to spread among them, but agitation, long suppressed once affected the old contradictions have triggered possible.
What is worth mentioning, because of the social structure, and the gulf states ruled structure similar BaoTuan heating between monarchy "crisis" stronger consciousness, north Africa, Egypt and Libya's events, al jazeera television reaction active, active, but every one of only 40 kilometers wide strait of bahrain of everything that happens "the light black", countries to support the king of bahrain one-sided monarchy, all of these shows six of the love and royal kingship maintenance, these would become in this ancient world, all social major change of stubborn resistance.
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