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The following article was published in our article directory on March 17, 2011.
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The central bank report shows will fall to lowest 12 years

Article Category: Business

Author Name: xia zihui

Consumption will drop to 12 years minimum

The central bank released yesterday by 2011 quarter savers, bankers, entrepreneurs questionnaire survey report. Investigation shows, 85.8% of urban residents tend to savings, including investment bond, stock, fund etc in disguised form, only saving and savings residents tend to "14.2% more consumer", create the lowest since 1999 survey.

Savers survey

Consumer appear ten years hard times

Nearly half residents believe the next quarterly price > > reading rose also worries about inflation and the net friend expect prices regulation on consumers' spending again strength

The survey covered 50 city 2 million households town household savers. In the current price, interest rates and income level, the inhabitants of 14.2% only tend to "more consumption", this is the lowest since 1999 survey, consumption appeared near ten years of hard times. In many ways, the choice of "investment real estate investment" residents of 25.1% than last season, although by 1 percentage point, but "real estate" is still residents preferred investment. Secondly for fund (21.9%), stock (13.5%).

For the current house price level, has the residents think "exorbitant 7dihydroxy to accept", but also to control prices most residents after movements, pessimistic, only nearly 20% of the residents think prices would fall.

Nearly half residents believe the next quarterly price also rise

Survey also found that the present household on price satisfaction moderate, future prices expected abate; Employment and income expected optimism is going well, employment, income expectations still not ideal.

Residents on price satisfaction index rose to 17.3%. Among them, although still have 66.9% inhabitants regarded price "high to accept", but this number is dropped seven points last season. For future inflation situation, residents believe prices are still rising next season will be the ratio, a 47.1% season on reducing 14.3 percentage points.

On pay, residents feel index of current income, a rise in 1918 season 3.4 percentage points, but lower than the same period last year level. Future income expectations index in the previous flat, as well as residents of future income, shows expected it still shows cautious.

> > interpretation

Inflation and worries inhibit consumption

The bohai sea DuZheng levy said securities macro analysts last year, the policy has continued tight regulation makes consumer expectations changed certainly, its inflation expectations appear abate; But rising inflation and many worries can have not yet been revoked also makes consumer reduced consumer spending, more money in the bank or into the market from two months ago that the social total retail sales of consumer goods fell year-on-year growth can be seen in a larger.

Net friend expect prices control again and stronger

The personage inside course of study expresses, current commodity residential house prices decline, but volume although trend is still elusive to homebuyers, at present it cannot be falling house prices confidence, so many people choose a wait-and-see at the same time, still not promising future house prices movements.

For this poll results, most net friend says results and the public reaction are basically the same. Comment on a netizen, investigation and the public that the reaction is consistent, the national basic early on prices better-acknowledged played a certain inhibition, house prices control still need to continue to intensify.

Other surveys

The expected tightening monetary policy has soared

The questionnaire survey, banker, the demand for bank loans index in the first quarter, with last season for efficiency improving 2.1 percentage points, two consecutive quarters to climb. Branch line of business looks, manufacturing loan demand, agriculture and slightly improve non-manufacturing loan decline in demand, the real estate and construction loan demand dropped. Index

Next season to monetary policy, the bankers 32.1% expected to maintain current moderate level, a season on decline 9.3 percentage points; Tightening 66.1 expected "last season," a dramatically increase 15.8 percentage points; 1.8% expected "hasten loose", relatively last season and drop 6.5 percentage points.

Entrepreneurs confidence index slightly increased

The central bank released simultaneously 'first quarter entrepreneurs survey indicates quarter, Chinese entrepreneur confidence index, a 76.3% last season for improving 2.1 percentage points; Business is booming expectations index rose 2.8 percent last season to recent three years - 73.4%, as the highest level.

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