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The following article was published in our article directory on February 15, 2011.
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Article Category: Business
Author Name: Amanda xzh
Arab League Secretary-General Amr Moussa said Monday he intends to nominate himself in Egypt's coming presidential elections, Al Arabia TV reported.
Moussa said he will devote the coming months to his presidential campaign after leaving his post in the Arab League in March. According to Al Arabia TV, he has prepared a campaign plan focusing on the principles of law, democracy and human rights.
Moussa hailed on Friday the Egyptian revolution in which President Hosni Mubarak stepped down as protests hit the country for more than two weeks.
Moussa said earlier that it was too early to talk about the presidential elections. "As an Egyptian citizen, I've the honor to serve my country in any post and it is time help in forming a consensus of opinions," he said.
With life slowly returning to normal and cleanup underway in Tahrir Square in downtown Cairo, Egypt is facing a number of important questions as the country prepares for its first new leader in over 30 years.
For 18 days, the Egyptian people protested against their ever- decreasing standard of living and worsening economic situation. Many called for the entire Mubarak regime to step down together with him and for a civilian democratic leadership to take power.
For the moment, a council of high-ranking officers under army chief Mohamed Hussein Tantawi is governing the country and has promised to hand over power to democratically elected leaders.
One of the first declarations by Tantawi was to reassure the international community that Egypt would continue to honor any international agreements signed by Mubarak, particularly the 1979 peace treaty with Israel.
Analysts that spoke to Xinhua on Sunday said, in the short term, there was little risk that the peace treaty would be abolished, but despite the Egyptian army being in control, Israel would have to rethink its strategic doctrine.
LONG TERM EFFECTS
Dr. Dan Schueftan, deputy director of the National Security Studies Center at the University of Haifa, told Xinhua that the risk of the peace treaty being abolished anytime soon is small, but that the long term strategic implications will be significant.
"The most important part of the peace treaty is the de- militarization of Sinai and the avoidance of war," Schueftan said. Israel captured the Sinai Peninsula in the 1967 war and it was returned to Egypt as part of the peace treaty.
Schueftan added that he does not foresee any changes anytime soon, as it will take time for the new government to settle in and formulate its agenda.
"The question of balance will be between the army and the civilians, and in particular how strong the Muslim Brotherhood will be -- this is something that is not yet determined," Schueftan said.
One problematic question that will be answered over time, according to Schueftan, is how much the new government will be a reflection of the negative sentiments that the Egyptian people have towards Israel and how concerned it will be over the rising influence of Iran in the Middle East.
"Even if it does not come to a point where the peace treaty is abolished and a war starts," Schueftan said, "from an Israeli point of view, you have to be prepared for a situation that this can happen."
He is of the opinion that even if this scenario does not materialize in the near future, it will take years for Israel to prepare for it, and if that is the case, then Israel will have to start its preparation soon.
If such preparation is undertaken, it will mean both a strain on Israel's defense budget and also altering the country's strategic thinking on military options and political agreements in the region, according to Schueftan. "Because, if until now Israel could assume that the Egyptian front would be quiet, now Israel can no longer assume it," he said.
NOT WORST-CASE SCENARIO
Ephraim Kam, a principal research fellow and deputy director at the Institute for National Security Studies in Tel Aviv, told Xinhua that at the moment no one really knows what the future holds for the Egyptian-Israeli peace treaty, but added that the situation could be worse.
According to Kam, the current situation, with the Egyptian army in control, is preferable to the possible scenario of the Muslim Brotherhood taking over. The Muslim Brotherhood is regarded as the largest political movement in Egypt and has called for the peace treaty to be canceled. The party is also alleged of having close ties with Iran and supporting Hamas.
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