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The following article was published in our article directory on January 26, 2011.
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Department Of Statistics Improve The Method Of Prices Statistics

Article Category: Business

Author Name: xia zihui

The country at present statistical departments are according to the new house prices statistical scheme for the January 2011 around house prices in data collection. And according to previously published "residential sales price survey scheme (draft), monthly 19 for time, meets the holiday prices released after another date.

A local statistical departments personage points out, not currently receive fresh notice, expected prices to digital will be duly announce, the house price and past different is, mainly adopted nets, and sign the data classification method is different. But what will be the result, but also needs the fence.

Scientific research center, Chinese academy of sciences, forecast DongJiChang tells a reporter, national bureau of statistics is expected to use the new statistical method, with the previously real estate prices digital department number will be almost.

"Calculating method caused group differences are not big, the biggest difference is data source. This problem has been solved. He said.

The new scheme under the prices would released next month

Data sources, great changes have taken place in the past in real estate business report is given priority to, this is mainly sign digital net.

A local statistical departments of people to tell a reporter, in the new house prices are expected to prepare for next month calculate figures, released. And the 2010 the biggest difference is that data sources, namely, great changes have taken place in the past in real estate business report is given priority to, this is mainly sign digital net.

"In fact, these figures are to develop business to offer source, only different way of data acquisition, the former is developed, and the latter is submitted for bureau in real estate management department implemented online to sign a way. This personage said.

According to the previous national publication of the "residential sales price survey scheme (draft), the national bureau will publish 70 cities newly-built residence and second-hand housing sales annulus, year-on-year, calm base the general price index, and classified price index. Urban points

Nets sign data content, including residential program unit name, residence structure, clinch a deal the price (contract amount), construction area, signing time, etc.

Before 2010 dec 23 at the national statistical work conference, national bureau of statistics, said MaJianTang real estate price statistical reform made progress through the network phased public to solicit their opinions of "residential sales price survey scheme" will be implemented starting from 2011.

The statistics bureau deputy director YuXiuQin tells a reporter, nets sign data also have some problems to be solved, because the contract signed a preliminary and final signing are two different things, developers in the end of may be some large completed before signing the contract is signed, behave so time is not the same.

"Is a core problem developers of data quality should be improved, actually before submit data, and web developer's source data, sign and implement new developers. Statistical methods, statistical methods had much to change, still take the weighted method." She said.

In addition, there are professional personage points out, secondhand the room when he signed for the purpose of tax evasion, both sides, but also in nets sign will turnover is very low, this sign the contract signed with the actual is different, called "yin-yang contract". Therefore, dealing of data quality improvement, remains to be nets sign outside of the intermediary survey data income.

Data fight situation may be improving

Beijing bureau of data shows, the year 2010 Beijing housing sales prices 11.5%, but a real estate non-governmental organization estimates, the actual price rises for 42%.

With the implementation of new housing prices this year the national bureau of statistics, statistical scheme possible data fight situation will is greatly improved.

The national bureau of statistics and city department respectively between two sets of house prices digital, one is the weighted average, one is arithmetic average, due to the large gap, currently only released weighted Numbers.

But construction department are still average house prices Numbers. Such as first quarter of 2006, Beijing appoint announced, Beijing commodity house opens to booking a average prices at 14.8% period room. Beijing bureau first quarter of 2006 Beijing commodity house price index rose 7.6%, both differ nearly doubled. After construction department was cancelled data released qualification. But many sets of digital unresolved issues.

On January 20, Beijing bureau of data shows, the year 2010 Beijing housing sales prices rising 11.5 per cent year-on-year, new residence rising 18%. But the secretary-general ChenYunFeng oxpatiation alliance use real estate department of digital calculate discovery, Beijing 2010 price rises in 24%. Another real estate non-governmental institutions may even think that the actual price rises for 42%.

Scientific research center, Chinese academy of sciences, predict to Beijing last year, our sales building completely investigation and statistics, this center researcher DongJiChang tells a reporter, practical survey of Beijing price rises in 16 percent - 17%. "Beijing in the previous three price rises only 10%, mainly is the fourth quarter, especially in December the digital pull up." He said.

DongJiChang thinks, 2011 countries increase safeguard housing construction, is expected to be restricted by efforts continue to implement housing property tax, parts, the influence of actual pilot Beijing housing price 10% the left and right sides, rise in May dropped more than last year. But housing demand is still very rigid.

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