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The following article was published in our article directory on January 24, 2011.
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Article Category: Business
Author Name: xia zihui
Wen once pointed out in 2009 is the most difficult year 2010 is the most complex for a year. 2011? National bureau of 2010 the November CPI for 5.1, according to the price inertial theory and lunar New Year factors of reasoning, December and January 2011, on February CPI should be greater than 5.1. 2011 Chinese macroeconomic regulation of the main task has clearly set government in front, control prices will be 2011 the main task.
Control prices alternative methods have three, first is control requirements. Demand including consumption demand and investment demand two aspects, consumer demand now can not control, and to encourage, because the central puts forward "1025" during China's economic growth mode transformation by investment drive for consumption pulling, controlling consumption and run counter to change the mode of economic growth, obviously not desirable; But the investment demand has its two sides, on the one hand, it is part of the total demand, may pull up prices, on the other hand, it can quickly transform for the overall supply, form the basic forces curb inflation, blind control investment demand could be will not be able to reverse inflation, and possibly allow inflation icing on the cake.
Control prices second method is to increase supplies. Our country at present prices cost factor is obvious, mainly displays in renminbi appreciation, labor wage growth and raw material of input prices three aspects. The rising cost of is very dangerous, it could trigger price rises and labor unemployment stances results, namely people usually "stagflation". However, economic appear "stagflation" is the premise of cost growth has led to reduced supplies. China and America the early 1930s the situation differently, China faces a very important potential crisis is excess capacity, costs not only won't form economic "stagflation", instead just is our digestive excess capacity of an opportunity. Not only such, rising costs factors will form to force mechanism and persecute enterprise technology innovation and management innovation to digest caused by rising costs profit the reduced pressure, this is our country for a long time that elusive thing. Based on the above considerations, by increasing the supply to control prices are the main methods should be focused on helping enterprise technology innovation and management innovation, blind to increase supply is unfavorable use.
Rising prices very much, the reason of both demand drive factors and cost advancement factors. But, no matter what the reason, it's performance in the market, governance inflation not only should consider control requirements, cost control, more want in the market management fluctuation kongfu. As is known to all, the influence of the second half of last year started the price rise begins "garlic you malicious", "ginger your army", "bean you play", "FaJiuFeng" etc, it is clearly price monopoly market behavior. These price monopoly market action, forming demonstration effect, triggering structural inflation. Therefore, the inflation will have to adopt a third method, i.e. against price monopoly method. The recent discovery of all kinds of industry association of weeklong behavior, further verify above judgment. The national development and reform commission issued against price monopoly at the measures, is inevitable. It will realize one: the implementation of sustainable economic growth, changing the style of economic growth while keeping prices stable.
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