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The following article was published in our article directory on January 21, 2011.
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Article Category: Business
Author Name: xia zihui
British economy out of recession trough into the way to recovery in the year, due to various reasons, especially government drastically reducing spending plan, the influence of recovery pace is really a hobbled, underpowered. Yet recent international oil prices continue to rise, to British economic recovery is still cannot say just make things worse, but said it for economic outlook is covered new shadow is a bit too much.
From the international oil prices Peugeot 206 trend curves look, is basically along a uphill type road continuing to rise. In June last year oil prices in more than $70 a barrel roughly wandering, October the prices up to more than $80 a barrel, has approached $100 a barrel. According to the current observing the $100 mark, again breakthrough seems to reach.
More than half year rises in international oil prices have been to Britain's economic recovery played a negative effect, make resuscitation prospects coated with new shadows. Above all, the wholesale price index rise considerably, a consumer prices of a pilot. Britain's national bureau of statistics latest data that have had remarkably embodiment. Statistics report, said last year December British product out "factory gate" of the price in rose 4.2 per cent annual calculation for 4 months, the largest increase a month. And production of raw materials into the "factory gate" of the price in rose 12.5%, annual calculation is eight months in advancing the largest one month, than the November 9.2% rise higher than 3.3 percentage points. Report explicitly pointed out in December, the British factory-gate prices rising rapidly, the most is mainly due to the international petroleum price soaring, cause. Because, if planing to energy and food prices outside, two types of core wholesale price rise Britain is once a month of 3.3 percent reduced to 2.9%.
Product factory prices will inevitably cause that sells on the market commodity prices, as Britain in recent months consumer price constantly rapidly the most main factor. The latest statistics show that last December in Britain's consumer price index rose 3.7%, annual calculation is eight months, the largest increase in November 3.3 percent higher than 0.4 percentage points. But the most direct prices of petroleum products is see more clearly, December's rise da 2.8%, for 1996 same biggest increase. British gasoline prices are more strikingly. By the end of 2009 British lead-free petrol price per liter average only 1.08 pounds. British energy analysts widely forecast to the end of the decade may then jumped to 123 pounds. But at present, UK petrol prices have an average per liter 1.29 pounds.
Oil prices rise in inflation will undoubtedly on economic recovery bring adverse effects. But exactly how much impact, various forecasting is endless and same. The final authority ernst &young company's latest prediction result is: if the international oil prices to $100 a barrel and mostly remain at this level, this year British consumer prices will rise by one percentage point, and GDP will corresponding decrease 0.1 of a percentage point. Specifically, forecasts this year British consumer prices generally from 3% to 4% of above, and G D P growth is from forecasts of 2. 2% dropped to 2.1%. If prices rise to $120 a barrel, the situation will be worse. G D P further decline to 2%, price index will continue to rise. The 2012 situation will also such. If oil prices remain at $100 a barrel of high prices, Britain's economic growth rate will increase from the current is expected to slow to 2.9% of 2.8%.
Oil prices higher inflation also push for the bank of England out a new big difficult problem. On the one hand, economic recovery slow fatigue needs to take loose monetary policy to promote excitant accelerated economic recovery, On the other hand, inflationary pressure in a rapid rate increase and the need to consider tighter monetary policy to prevent runaway inflation. In the face of such a dilemma situation, the bank of England --, the bank of England policymakers really very difficult.
Keywords: China Oil pumping unit, Oilfield auxiliary equipment Manufacturer
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