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The following article was published in our article directory on January 21, 2011.
Learn more about SpinDistribute Article Distribution System.
Article Category: Business
Author Name: Amanda xzh
Bureau 2010 annual economic data, in which the 2010 full-year GDP year-on-year growth 10.3%, CPI 3.3 percent increase over the previous year. Many well-known analysts to this data published views.
Cathay Pacific chief economist prosperous country people safe LiXunLei (micro Po) in tencent low, said: "in February may again rates: 10 years in the fourth quarter 9.8 per cent of GDP, much more than expected PPI5.9 % is still in the highs and promote the core CPI increase, entering January CPI increase momentum has not changed, core CPI can still than expected to bring difficulty. During the first half of inflation is still a high volume of real estate, it is expected in the first half of monetary control power will still relatively large. China's economic growth motivation, but inflation has become the emerging Asian countries problem."
Becomes fund (micro Po) believes that the current effective tightening, especially margin deposit reserve rate policies made credit expansion, so this year more controllable macro economic and market risk obviously lower than last year, half year will be relatively high growth and inflation recedes pattern.
The market for inflation concern more, citic securities managing director XuGang in micro bo wrote: "all prices are monetary phenomenon current inflation from cost to promote that is very popular recently. But all the cost to promote phenomenon in essence is still a few years to monetary super hair results. A few years ago the excess liquidity, real estate absorbing the recent real estate under pressure, absorbing liquid, and reduced ability whole society price level. Therefore, as long as the clique currency must be able to control lives inflation. We don't have too pessimistic."
Galaxy securities chief strategy QinXiaoBin thinks, analysts 2010 year-round CPI 3.3 percent in that still face inflationary pressures, because remain QiaoWei factors and holiday factors, resulting in January's CPI increase under a lot of pressure, theoretically in February, the existence of rate demand. With inflation pressure increases, our country enters the interest rate hikes channel deterministic increase. Existing succession of rate may.
As to the international financial crisis in the implementation of the scheme in the second, China has GDP10.3 % growth, explain our economy got rid of the financial crisis, into the process of robust recovery.
2010 annual investment in real estate development 48267 billion yuan, up 33.2% that real estate investment enthusiasm is still high, this to 2011 real estate sector listed company's performance has must help, with property now whole appraise deterministic low and the existence of the investment value.
By 2010, economic data is very beautiful, as reaction economic market, QinXiaoBin barometer that 2011 whole is high, low before after a concussion upward trend, 2011 investment opportunities to the overall relatively balanced, won't copy the 2010 polarization trend. In the real estate sector, new energy resources, new technology, or has the advantage of the plates valuations have a good investment opportunities.
Bohai securities: inflation pressure big February late to raise rates
Bureau of the latest figures show that in December month CPI rose by PPI rises 4.6%, 5.9%. How to interpret these data? Securities times nets first interviewed bohai securities analysts DuZheng levy macro.
DuZheng levy said, December CPI slightly more than market expectations, plus last December 1 week to date since food prices appeared comprehensive rebound, especially for two weeks, vegetable prices rise above 6% compared in future against inflation pressure increased. He says, January CPI have the Spring Festival factors, in which is the central bank will comprehensive investigation on February 1, CPI movements to decide whether the judgment, coupled with the previous rates have 1 times RRR hike, although not completely ruled out the possibility of ethanim raising interest rates, but less likely, raising rates more likely to occur in late February. However, if January credit continue to dash high in a few Banks, the difference of the deposit reserve rate may use. (securities times nets)
Minmetals securities: inflationary pressures severe grail or agent bottom
Bureau of the latest figures show that in December month CPI rose by PPI rises 4.6%, 5.9%. How to interpret these data? Securities times nets first minmetals securities, director and chief economist LiuDeZhong.
LiuDeZhong says, the national bureau of statistics just economic data released: 2010 year for GDP growth in the fourth quarter GDP 10.3%, thickening, 9.8 per cent in expected data itself, but the fourth quarter began to decline is quite obvious, GDP growth in the fourth quarter began tightening monetary background entity economy slows speed is remarkable.
He says, CPI year-round 3.3% no accident in December, CPI for 4.6%, high in November than although have dropped, but is not obvious, Considering the year-on-year increase in December PPI 5.9% inflationary pressures, still very serious. First, the conduction of CPI PPI to a process, this process will also push up the CPI, Second, since last year's low base effects, 2011 quarter CPI again innovation high is a big probability events; Finally, the u.s.-led western economies super looser monetary environment for China's inflation input role will short-term an overwhelming.
He says, tightening monetary dynamics super market expectations, the a-share market recently downside, before the Spring Festival in GDP growth will not stop tightening monetary downturn and under double pressures of Ethan bottom, but due to the continued growth performance and grail last year blue chip low valuation multiples, index fell space is limited, but stocks risk not small
Keywords: China Chest & Cabinet, China Tool Chest
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