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The following article was published in our article directory on December 31, 2010.
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Statistics Differences Affect Sino-US Trade Truth

Article Category: Business

Author Name: xia zihui

Sino-US economic and trade relations, the Chinese trade surplus with the United States is a major concern for both countries. According to the U.S. Department of Commerce released the latest statistics, the first 10 months of this year, the U.S. trade deficit with China continues the main source countries. In addition to the formation of the reasons for this situation under the conditions of globalization, structural problems, such as the rapid development of China-US economic and trade exchanges, the differences caused by different statistical methods can not be ignored.

The current international trade statistics prevailing principle of "rules of origin", which is based on 19th century theory of international trade theory. World Trade Organization global trade as a major coordinating body formed after World War II international economic order of the product. For decades, along with the deepening of economic globalization, development, representative of the international economic order of trade statistics can not accurately reflect the standards have been the reality of global economic and trade fields. One interesting example is the principle of trade statistics caused by the existing trade imbalance has been exaggerated. From a bilateral perspective, the U.S. statistics to increase the extent of Sino-US trade imbalance.

Over the years, the United States in trade statistics has been controversial. Trade in goods, according to Chinese statistics, in 2009 China exported 220.8 billion U.S. dollars to the United States, from the United States imported 77.4 billion U.S. dollars; and according to U.S. statistics, U.S. exports to China over the same period 69.6 billion U.S. dollars, 296.4 billion U.S. dollars of imports from China.

In order to narrow their differences on trade statistics, China and the U.S. Government has used the platform of China-US Joint Commission on Commerce for a long consultation and research. This year in March, the Chinese Ministry of Commerce issued the "China-US trade in goods between statistical study." The report shows that the two sides in the offer of direct trade, the Chinese export goods transit via a third place and a number of different methods of data processing is caused by differences in bilateral trade statistics of the important reasons.

Under the findings, the U.S. statistics from the 2006 U.S. trade deficit with China was reduced to $ 232,600,000,000 $ 173,400,000,000, a decline of 26%. If by some experts said the statistics according to value chain constitutes trade data, China's trade surplus with the United States could fall more than 40%.

"Wall Street Journal" article that the United States are highly complementary in economy and trade between the two countries, which is of mutual benefit between the two countries. U.S. goods exports to China more than 60% of processing trade products, the American public to enjoy the benefits of cheap goods, help to maintain low inflation environment, the United States.

Carnegie Endowment for International Peace in Washington think tank, Project Director of the international economy, international trade experts interview when he said the WTO in the new global economy if the situation does not reform itself, will be in the economic world The historical trend of being marginalized. And the organization an important part of the reform is to change the statistical principles.

Harvard economics professor, former U.S. President Ronald Reagan's economic adviser Martin Feldstein believes that the U.S. and China as long as there is sufficient political will and really take action, bilateral trade balance in recent years is not impossible. Speaking from the United States, the U.S. government should work to reduce the fiscal deficit and improve the national savings rate. In addition, the statistical principles of change will also play an irreplaceable role.

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