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The following article was published in our article directory on December 30, 2010.
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Make Wall Street Worrying American Debt Problem

Article Category: Business

Author Name: xia zihui

Well-known Wall Street analyst Meredith Whitney recently predicted that by 2011 the United States where a large number of municipal bonds will default by the outbreak. Her speech triggered investor concerns about the U.S. bond market.

Whitney on CBS "60 Minutes" program, predicted that next year will take place from 50 to 100 events of default of municipal bonds, involving an amount of up to billions of dollars, and the size of nearly 3 trillion U.S. municipal bond market caused impact.

Wall Street crisis and because of successful prediction of the famous Whitney warned that, following the real estate bubble burst, the local debt crisis may be the biggest problem facing the U.S. economy.

The first two years of economic recession led to sharp drop in local taxes, social security and other expenses increased, which makes some of the already debt-ridden local government matters worse, its solvency is questionable. California state government declared last year because of huge budget deficit fiscal emergency.

In addition to local debt, the U.S. federal government debt investors are also worried about the market. Since December of this year, the United States since the collapse of Lehman Brothers bonds suffered the biggest sell-off, the lack of incentive for investors to control U.S. President Barack Obama's confidence in the government deficit.

Congress passed this month, the Obama administration's tax cut plan, the world's leading rating agency Moody's warned that if the U.S. government deficit and debt levels continue to rise sharply, Moody's will consider in the next 12 to 18 months United States sovereign credit rating lowered. According to Moody's estimates that Obama's tax cuts would reduce the U.S. Treasury 700 billion to 900 billion U.S. dollars in revenue.

Wall Street watching the U.S. debt problem stems from its own interests. Bond issuance and trading of the immense financial contribution to business performance. Particularly since the financial crisis, major banks from the U.S. bond prices and the "quantitative easing" policy has benefited. In the first 9 months of major U.S. bond trading business accounted for 61% of banking transactions, Goldman Sachs Group, the first quarter of this year alone, the bond business as high as $ 7,390,000,000.

Second, the bond market is essential for the stability of Wall Street. Wall Street financial firms typically hold large amounts of federal or local government bonds, a large number of bonds precipitation in the enterprise's balance sheet, if the debt will inevitably result in increased risk of corporate balance sheets deteriorate, causing losses.

Not been able to resolve the debt problem will affect the U.S. economic recovery. The debt, the U.S. government's fiscal policy space is limited and can only use monetary policy to support economic recovery. Wall Street worries that the Fed buying bonds through a lot of liquidity into the market approach, in promoting the recovery of the U.S. economy awash with liquidity will also lead to the end will bring new turmoil in the market.

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