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The following article was published in our article directory on December 24, 2010.
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Article Category: Business
Author Name: xia zihui
ECB President Trichet to find a suitable successor for himself, he must first find a "disk access" European Central Bank people.
Most officials of the European Central Bank was already tired of playing the role of Bond ultimate purchaser, the central bank last week acquired the 603 million euros only bonds, well below the previous week's 2.667 billion euros. This is designed to help the country tide over the crisis in the euro zone debt problems debt measures the share, but now within the central bank officials first encountered "defection."
In theory, the European Central Bank should have great freedom, not only independence, but the scale of the balance sheet would not be explicitly limited. The problem is debt crisis staged in Europe, times have changed already. The current situation is that the ECB monetary policy can not undermine the oversight capacity of the unlimited purchase bonds. And the more you buy, the greater the negative effect it seems.
Recent decision by the European Central Bank said it would increase its capital from 5 to 10.76 billion euros, which is it to tell people, in fact, the ECB itself also needs to be help?
Now the embarrassing situation of the European Central Bank can not be said that thanks to the huge purchase debt had vigorous program has done. Increase in the assets of the ECB did not make the decision, the size of its balance sheet is as high as 138 billion euros, 24 times the debt asset ratio was higher than any reasonable value of commercial banks in Europe, not even when Lehman Brothers collapsed low rate of where to go.
In this "difficult" situation, the European Central Bank to support those who are still struggling to finance the national. This spirit is moving, but could not reconcile the "one saving people and their is no guarantee that" the conflict.
The scale of the rapid expansion of debt purchased, along with the European Central Bank dramatic expansion of funds available for deployment. As a result, the economy will be a corresponding rise in the currency in circulation, inflation is almost certain. The current situation looks stable. As the European Central Bank also embrace short-term deposits from the bank suction, buffer the impact of buying bonds, liquidity situation has not yet appeared out of control, inflation remains under control.
However, if the ECB continues to substantially increase the scale of the share debt, the difficulty will be offset rising, and even higher interest rates may need to attract bank deposits. Raise interest rates in real terms is to take austerity measures, which have not yet fully recovered in terms of the European economy is undoubtedly a blow. Monetary policy clearly should not bear too much burden on monetary policy and fiscal policy, the limits should not be confused.
In addition, the European Central Bank must also consider protecting their own reputation, if the blind second-tier countries, sovereign bond holdings and other assets, it is likely because these countries together with the debt situation has deteriorated and fell into the water. Hand poor quality of sovereign bonds, its own financial strength will also be questioned.
Unconventional measures should not become the norm of the European Central Bank is not aware of wantonly printing a good way to solve the problem immediately, only to find a new growth point in order to save Europe. But habits of lavish European countries, tightening them even more painful than perhaps downgrade. Across the street protests to prove.
That the European economy had rich man's disease is not an exaggeration. Rich man's disease is a result of modern society in which people live richer, to develop diseases caused by poor habits. Today, the European economic situation and the same. Printing money to stimulate the economy wantonly addiction, like the living conditions of wealthy people eating and drinking cause a problems. The central bank also pause the printing press, the less point of the euro, and perhaps the road to economic recovery but also smoother more!
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