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The following article was published in our article directory on December 22, 2010.
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Japan Loose Fiscal Lead to Finance Face Collapse

Article Category: Business Management

Author Name: xia zihui

"Japan's GDP will certainly decline in the quarter, but we are most worried about is likely to fall further in 2011, this also means that Japan may once again fall into recession."

Local time on 21 December, the Bank of Japan policy board kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 0 to 0.1%, to judge the economic outlook and the tone is consistent the last policy meeting, while continuing to maintain the 5 trillion yen of asset acquisition fund size unchanged. Bank of Japan said that the current Japanese economy is showing modest signs of recovery, but the growth seems stagnant.

Recovery will continue to stagnate

In yesterday's monetary policy meeting, Bank of Japan said that corporate earnings improved, but slightly weaker business confidence, employment situation and income levels are still facing severe challenges, the pace of Japan's economic recovery is expected to lag the state will continue for some time. However, in emerging economies and resource-rich countries, led by then the slow recovery of the Japanese economy will return to the track; the price front, the resource impact of other raw materials prices in Japan rise in price level may exist, but in the long view, the domestic price level is still low levels. Japan's central bank said, will be based on economic and price trends to take appropriate measures to curb deflation.

This year, the continuing appreciation of the yen as well as domestic deflation as the Japanese government's "persistent" problem, and this year in September the Bank of Japan intervention the yen exchange rate has become a global war fuse. Many analysts said that given the trend of the future dollar weakness, the yen exchange rate is still higher next year's possible, and headache for the Japanese deflation of the state government will also continue. Therefore, do not rule out the Bank of Japan next year to expand the scale of quantitative easing.

Or facing financial collapse

After the financial crisis by Greece and other countries sovereign debt crisis and the U.S. policy of quantitative easing monetary instability caused by the impact of global economic recovery in 2010, the Japanese economy has shown an unstable state: the first 3 quarters of 2010, Japanese real GDP growth of 1.6% qoq, 0.4% and 0.9%, the growth rate decline. Many analysts believe that Japan's high unemployment rate, weak income growth and continued deflation trend is not significant change, coupled with the rapid appreciation of the yen, the basis of very weak economic growth, downside risks still high, the Japanese economy in the fourth quarter was negative growth. Mizuho Securities chief market economist, said Yasunari Ueno, "Japan's GDP will certainly decline in the quarter, but we are most worried about is likely to fall further in 2011, this also means that Japan may once again fall into recession . "

December 20, the Japanese government also plans to start in April next year, next fiscal year's 144.9 trillion yen in bonds issued, this amount will again be a record. Japanese government bonds also led to the rapid growth of many of the Japanese financial crisis will usher in a prophecy. Although the current holder of Japanese government bonds more than 90% from Japan, the Japanese government still has the ability to repay debt, but many of Japan's economic circles of Japan's fiscal deficit is still full of concern that the long run will lead to face financial collapse in Japan situation.

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