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The following article was published in our article directory on December 21, 2010.
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Article Category: Business Management
Author Name: Amanda xzh
Renewed tension by the two Koreas yesterday, gold price of risk aversion, the international gold price was up slightly in the days. "Geopolitical" factors once again become the focus of the gold market. Experts said China's enthusiasm to invest in gold, ROK has increased geopolitical risks and the largest gold ETF-SPDR significantly Masukura, these factors have the support of the gold price, gold is still in general difficult or easy to up trend the market outlook is expected to once again challenge $ 1,400 mark.
During Asian trading yesterday, the inter-Korean tensions, the price of gold as a hedging tool seems quite strong. Worried by the impact of tensions, China's stock market fell sharply after the opening, the futures market also appeared most varieties diving, only the strong trend of gold and other hedging instruments. 1106 Shanghai Golden main contract opened higher after the shock rise, to close out a small Yang Xian, to close at 3.16 yuan higher than the previous day, trading volume and open interest are on the rise. However, there is no conflict between the two Koreas, the more moderate movement of gold.
As of 7:00 p.m., New York, reported $ 1,383.6 gold, or some narrower than during the day, indicating risk aversion has been watered down.
"Once the outbreak of the East Asian geopolitical conflict, then there will be more short-term gains," high Purcell Riley King, principal analyst, said gold and silver, in the event of unforeseen circumstances, it may in the short term gold price of 3% -5% rise. In fact, many of yesterday's domestic gold investors have been closely monitoring the international situation changes.
But Riley also said the king, even in conflict, the price of gold can not be interpreted as 100 points in a short time about the increase, because the outbreak of speculative demand, while investment demand will be suppressed. Overall, the geopolitical role will boost the gold price there, but not enough to shake the entire gold market.
Experts said the trend from the technical point of view of gold, but also not completely linked to the geopolitical. The gold and the other reflecting the international situation, the relationship between the U.S. dollar index, for example, or for recent positive correlation between the two, or negative correlation, the relations are quite scattered, did not show visible gold is subject to geopolitical characteristics.
In addition to Korean situation, there are several international events also played a large role in gold. One of Ireland Moody's rating cut on Friday, so gold hedging, have played; Second, tax cuts or through the United States, but also high levels of debt the United States, which also contributed to gold's safe-haven role .
Game from the long and short term, gold's upward trend has not been broken, or 1,400 U.S. dollars mark for the competition will commence in the near future.
Copper & hit a new high, silver market is running high, the commodity market has the support of global demand, the strong performance of commodity markets, gold provides a good external environment. Can be said that gold is only subject to the U.S. dollar index is currently the stage strong, but shock has not changed the pattern of the strong side. "The future should be in the 1360-1410 dollar range bound."
The gold investment funds are also not far from the market. The largest ETF-SPDR Gold from Dec. 6 to lighten up 12 tons has been, but lost ground on Friday in one fell swoop, jiacang 15.183 tons. After some time ago after a row to lighten up, SPDR Fund Masukura huge amount within one day, show large institutions are still bullish on gold outlook, giving the offensive intentions. From now on the disk is also very intuitive reflected the market's sentiment: investors in the face of the U.S. economic recovery and the euro area economy continues to decline under the status of the majority chose the interval operations.
"From the point of view changes in trading volume last month, and only when prices hit 1410-1430, there was greater near the short heavy volume, while profit-taking pressure from investors, unwilling to chase high; the other hand, are fundamental factors. "Zong-xin high Purcell, precious metals analyst said the market price of gold on the rise in short-term despite misgivings, but still optimistic about a continuation of the gold bull market.
The industry said that for investors, in the treatment of long-period and gradually raise the price low, low price of short-cycle status in the slow decline, the need to strengthen the price fluctuations within the range of risk control ability, reverse Quotes not really highlighted before, the dip is still more than a single Jiancang into the operation of the main ideas.
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