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The following article was published in our article directory on December 20, 2010.
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Article Category: Business
Author Name: xia zihui
In 2011, the RMB appreciation against the U.S. dollar will continue to maintain momentum against the euro, the yen depreciation will be the end, turn into the appreciation of the range; and the Australian dollar continue to rise inherent in the space, the RMB exchange rate against the Australian dollar may be mixed situation.
First, in 2011, the U.S. dollar to continue down the space is very limited, the future will mainly remain weak shocks, limiting the RMB exchange rate against other currencies may rise further; the euro as Europe's long-term debt problems exist, it will show a trend of shock adjustment; yen there is more significant downside risks. Meanwhile, the United States, Europe, Japan and the economic situation of low short-term recovery is difficult to be a big change, the fundamentals do not support the national currency strong, and thus the RMB against the U.S., Europe, Japan and a comprehensive appreciation of the exchange rate possible.
Secondly, China 2011 "second Five Year Plan" the first year, the economy will continue to maintain steady growth, inflation expectations remain. With the easing of monetary policy changes to the stable, the possibility of another interest rate increase. Excess liquidity in the global context, China and the spread widening between developed countries will increase the inflow of international capital to put pressure on RMB appreciation.
In addition, the slow recovery of world economy in 2011 the situation will be no fundamental change, and therefore can not rule out the United States, Europe, Japan and other countries launch an attack on the RMB exchange rate issue further possible.
RMB appreciation pros and cons, the current international and domestic situation, we should strengthen the research, the full use of the favorable aspects, while the negative impact to a minimum.
First, the use of renminbi appreciation, and expand much-needed economic development in China's imports of raw materials and machinery and equipment; the same time to play imports on the macroeconomic balance and the important role of structural adjustment and promote basic balance in trade balance.
Second, the use of RMB appreciation, China's export enterprises will accelerate the restructuring and upgrading, the price to win from a shift to technology, brand, quality and service to win, to improve the added value of export products, while optimizing the trade structure, less on exports negative impact on the enterprise, to promote "second five year" period of economic restructuring and transformation of the mode of economic development goals.
Third, to further promote the reform of RMB exchange rate formation mechanism, to relax the yuan pegged to a basket of currencies, floating range, allowing the yuan to gradually moderate appreciation of RMB appreciation to seize the initiative.
Fourth, to strengthen the management of inflation expectations, on the one hand part of the assets and take measures to control rapidly rising trend of commodity prices, stable prices, to give the market a clear signal; the other hand, by the loose monetary policy to accelerate the transformation to the stable timely to raise the benchmark interest rates and moderate tightening of credit lines.
Fifth, strengthen the supervision of international speculative capital inflows, for "hot money" flowing into the main channel and monitoring of the weak links in the customs import and export prices should strengthen tracking, in a timely manner to investigate unusual fluctuations in commodity prices, Canada Great review of fictitious transactions punishment. Foreign exchange management departments should continue to improve foreign exchange management and related management policies and strengthen regulatory coordination between different departments, regularly carry out investigation and "hot money" special actions to crack down on all kinds of illegal foreign exchange activities.
Keywords: China Wafer butterfly valve, Gate Valve Manufacturer,
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