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The following article was published in our article directory on December 16, 2010.
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Japanese Manufacturing Deflation May Last Eight Years

Article Category: Business Management

Author Name: xia zihui

15 economic data showed manufacturing sentiment in Japan after the financial crisis first down. As the lifeblood of the Japanese economy, the manufacturing sector so poor prospects of economic recovery in Japan Adds haze. Foreign media that the Japanese economy will shrink the fourth quarter, deflation will continue for 8 years.

15 Bank of Japan released data show that the December Tankan index of large manufacturers fell to 5,9 and 8 months. Although the data better than the market expected, but the large manufacturing confidence index fell in Japan, since March 2009 is the first time.

Japan's central bank said, mainly by environmental subsidies and export the end of the drag reducer. In addition, the reaction 3 months after the manufacturing outlook index fell to minus 2, it shows appreciation of the yen and overseas economic trends of increased uncertainty.

Foreign media analysis, the report reinforced the fourth quarter of the Japanese economy has been concerns about shrinking, while the market for possible expansion of the Bank of Japan monetary stimulus is expected to heat up. Data released in October showed that Japanese industrial production decline since February 2009 created the most, export growth slowed and unemployment increased. In addition, the October prices in Japan fell 0.6% over last year, the first 20 months of consecutive decline.

After the data release, the Japanese yen against the dollar fell 0.3% to 83.93 yen; this year, the exchange rate has risen a total of up to 11% to the Group of Ten (G10) currencies increases the most. Japan's Nikkei 225 index hit a 15, then from the previous day closing high of 7-month slide, down fell 0.07% to 10,309.78 points.

A survey conducted by the foreign media, investors believe prices also fell in Japan for 8 years. According to the survey, the Japanese fund managers expect the next 5 years the average price decrease of 0.6% per year in 2018 prices fell by 0.4%.

In the 20 years ending in 2009, the Japanese gross domestic product (GDP) grew 15%, while the U.S. GDP rose 158%. Japan's core consumer price index (CPI) average annual growth of 0.3%, 10-year bond yields averaged 2.4%; the U.S. CPI average annual growth of 2.7%, the average 10-year bond yields 5.53%.

U.S. administration's most famous bond fund manager Pacific Investment Management integrity who know zai said: "Japan will not have a positive policy, deflation may be extended." He said, the Bank of Japan's plan only superficially attractive.

In addition, according to a survey by Thomson Reuters, investors expect the next financial year to the market in Japan or the government bonds issued 147 trillion yen, which will create the new record of the country's treasury bonds.

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