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The following article was published in our article directory on December 15, 2010.
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Tax Bill May Make the Fed Dilemma

Article Category: Business Management

Author Name: Amanda xzh

Tax cuts the past two days the United States is undoubtedly the focus of public attention, it also made last year, held on Tuesday, the Federal Reserve meeting on interest rates a bit "dwarfs." According to market is widely expected that the meeting is not any new policy changes will be introduced. However, look at next year, to promote a compromise version of the Obama tax cuts might make the Federal Reserve Ben Bernanke led a dilemma.

In early November of the previous interest-rate meeting, Bernanke has just announced the launch of the second round of the 600 billion U.S. dollars of debt acquisition program designed to stimulate economic recovery. Therefore, near the end of the year, Bernanke may not want to have any major moves to inaction, as the case may decide the next step of the policy measures.

However, the Obama administration and Republicans reached a compromise version of tax cuts, to some extent a firm might completely disrupted the implementation of the Federal Reserve's policy of quantitative easing pace.

From the perspective of the Fed, given the economic outlook is not optimistic, that they want to continue to maintain or even expand the quantitative easing. Bernanke also said not long ago, do not rule out the third round of the quantitative easing.

However, once the tax cuts passed, would mean the U.S. economy gained new fiscal stimulus, thus weakening the need for further quantitative easing. This also may give the Fed an internal anti-inflation "hawks" more reason to fight, requiring large-scale quantitative easing, the central bank to stop the implementation of an early start of the normalization of monetary policy.

Berner, an economist at Morgan Stanley said that with the market focus turned to tax cuts brought about by the fiscal stimulus, the Fed may no longer be as pressing as the need to extend the bond purchase program after the second quarter of next year.

On the other hand, the tax cuts are extended, the Fed seems to have more reason to increase the strength of quantitative easing. Government to promote the tax cuts, making the situation facing the Fed suddenly become complicated. Over the past few days, because the market is expected to be adopted tax cuts, rising U.S. yields a row, once reached the high point of six months, mortgage rates have gone up. This is obviously the Fed wants to see because it was the intention Bernanke started the acquisition of treasury bonds in the hope that lowering interest rates for financing and create convenience.

All in all, the massive tax cuts to bring the U.S. economy is hard to say a blessing and a curse. The Fed, the policy will only become more complex and unpredictable.

Keywords: China Media Converters, Video Encoder/Decoder,

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