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The following article was published in our article directory on December 14, 2010.
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United States caught Make Ends Meet Status

Article Category: Business

Author Name: Amanda xzh

Transformation of the U.S. economy will, but in a different direction. Unlike Europe, the U.S. macroeconomic policy has decided to abandon the principle of frugality. December 7, Obama and congressional Republicans to reach an agreement cutting taxes, tax cuts far exceeded people's expectations, the agreement will not only continue the Bush tax cuts introduced by the Government to extend for two years, but also an increase of about 2% GDP of the new tax cuts. A new round of tax cuts and a combination of quantitative easing, the United States into another tonic.

This is expected, the U.S. economy next year would grow by 4%, which exceeds the expected trend, although not fast enough, but enough to reduce unemployment. But U.S. politicians are to take risks, long-term budget outlook is extremely poor in the case, Obama and the Republicans have not been able to reach agreement on medium-term fiscal adjustment. Solve the deficit problem raised by the proposals have been shelved. Bond investors have been on the world's major reserve currency of the issuer of generosity, they sell the bonds by way of expressing the appreciation of the tax agreement. But more and more people are worried about the U.S. financial hole will keep rising. If things continue this way, the U.S. bond market may crash next year.

Emerging economies, the difference between the eurozone and the United States will increase the risk of any party. U.S. loose monetary policy and the euro zone sovereign debt crisis caused by fears, will stimulate more capital flows to emerging economies, making the latter the central bank forced to raise rates to curb inflation. Expected in the next 5 years, the growth of emerging economies account for about 50% of global growth, but the public net debt increased only 13% of global growth. In the near future, the global economy is not re-balance, but toward the heavily indebted countries debt continues to increase, while the emerging economies become more frugal frugal direction.

To some extent, the Western countries avoid a recession, thanks to the collaboration of Europe and the United States, and have similar economic ideas. Currently, both sides bogged down in domestic issues, adopted a very different problem-solving strategies Shiyou. This is made in international cooperation taboo, indicating failure. When there is a further economic problems the euro area member states, EU policy makers is difficult to form a new round of re-solution. This also indicates that the decline of financial markets.

Of course, the above analysis may not be the determining direction. Barack Obama and Congress can proceed in the development of medium-term deficit reduction plan to make progress; feud has long been the European leaders can reach agreement on the euro and the financial system throughout the region on track to sustainable development. Major emerging economies, countries can increase their currencies. However, do not have too many of these may be illusions. More divided world economy in 2011 will have a devastating impact on the economic situation.

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