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The following article was published in our article directory on December 13, 2010.
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Article Category: Business Management
Author Name: Amanda xzh
International funds and investment banks completely ignored the ongoing monetary tightening in China, struggling to buy from the metal to the soybean, cotton and gold and silver and precious metals of all commodities. Compared with the prices of these commodities, China's A shares became the most untrustworthy market. Closer look at commodities, in particular, the trend of the international copper market, which shocked investors by the way is not the real players has surfaced.
JP Morgan has established its own copper ETF Fund, which is a major event in the international copper, copper trading market will have a major impact, but also points out, JP Morgan, a position not at current levels. Since then, copper prices in London fell from the highest bit rate of up to $ 1,000.
However, according to the latest information display LME, a month later, JP Morgan already has half the amount of stock exchanges, up to 18 tons. Since the beginning Nov. 17, LME copper prices rose $ 1,171, up by nearly 15%, there is speculation that the mysterious buyer is driving the market, and now, JP Morgan has been the level of LME trading as the market opened its membership to mystery. JP Morgan 金身 emergence can also be used to explain why the recent copper price in London Stock Exchange was stronger than in Shanghai copper futures trading. JP Morgan laid within a month the equivalent of SPDR in the gold market.
At the same time, the international copper inventories last week, appeared the biggest decline since 6 years now, LME exchange stocks have been the highest this year, 50 million tons from the current 35 million tons down to about the year 42.86% inventory reduction than is the biggest drop since 2004. Large investment banks optimistic about the reasons copper, copper supply will remain tight next year, demand increased by 4.2% in the same time, while supply only increased by approximately 2.6% decline in global copper grade of the slow investment in new mines and make future become very difficult to increase supply, according to Bank of America, Merrill Lynch estimates that the gap between supply and demand next year will reach 367,500 tons.
Despite more than a lot of good news, the pen or to the husband's attitude has always been here to remind investors that, because the Fund has the absolute control disk International Copper market, the future trend will be more difficult to grasp than ever, investors under the current price should be cautious not blindly chase. In particular, monetary policy tightening in China and the European debt crisis is still affecting the market situation.
JP Morgan in the promotion of international copper prices, the international hedge funds are flocking into the international commodity market, according to CFTC open positions announced last week showed, NYMEY crude oil trading, the fund net long positions jumped a week there, within a week , speculative funds in crude oil futures and options net long positions increased by more than 10%, two weeks to promote the international oil price rose 10%.
Meanwhile, the international investment banks have recently raised the future oil prices, Goldman Sachs will set oil prices in 2012 was 110 U.S. dollars, Deutsche Bank estimated in 2011 to $ 87.5 average price, JP Morgan, 2011, the price will increase from $ 89 to $ 93 , and 2012 will reach 120 dollars.
U.S. crude oil inventories recent downward trend in a row this week, EIA reported inventories fell 380 million barrels, more than a month, U.S. light crude oil inventories drop more than 1,500 million barrels, which for the recent strength in oil prices provided a strong strong fundamentals support.
However, recently, turn on the Fund's holdings of the U.S. position limits for commodities subject to re-make, CFTC under severe pressure. Compared with a year ago, and now the Republicans rely on Wall Street right to speak is restored, therefore, full pressure is unlikely.
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