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The following article was published in our article directory on December 6, 2010.
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Article Category: Business
Author Name: Amanda xzh
Politicians also lost in the follow-up for the debate among the U.S. presidential election, or the quantitative easing policy, but investors should realize that we never going into the Reagan era of prosperity.
One reason to explain all of this, the total demand for the global economy is experiencing a downturn. Simply put, consumers will not buy enough stuff, so companies will not hire enough people to carry out production. Economic growth is so slow, especially in developing countries relative to developed countries.
Moreover, this lack of global aggregate demand, it is impossible to imagine relying on politicians and the public to fill. Although economic theory, the human always want to buy something, people will never meet the demand. However, when a country or a family's credit card maxed out, their needs or can easily be seen spending slowdown is the. We are witnessing such a sweeping knowledge of the entire European continent, and began to appear within the United States.
Developing countries and their consumers have the consumer demand. While their rapid economic growth, their total demand is still not enough to pull Europe, Japan and the U.S. economy. Improve their financial system is still in the process, although the huge potential, but there are many weaknesses. A recent example is the year followed the 1997-1998 Asian financial crisis, the Russian debt crisis of 1998 and 2001, the Argentine debt crisis. Consideration when formulating policies in these countries is heavily indebted to those countries to expand exports, rather than the expansion of domestic consumption. This global aggregate demand, the impact of causing more negative. There is no doubt China is the engine driving the economy, but it is also not only by manufacturing exports to the global economic rescue students days. It needs to build more of their own shopping malls, but this also requires several years if not decades.
Because of lack of demand, the only remaining market among the countries of the cake for the competition to become more intense. We are looking forward to grab the hands of other countries some of the growth.
Almost half a century ago, global growth is the undisputed champion of the hands of the United States that it controls all cards: World War II intact industrial base, the Bretton Woods system and well-educated, with innovation workforce. Therefore there is no doubt that our policies will encourage open markets and free trade, as this will only benefit U.S. hegemony. In 1970-1980, the United States, other countries began to catch up. Japan better than the United States out of the car, steel, China's rise soon touched the United States and other developed economies. The gradual decline of the world's center of gravity of the situation is unfolding.
United States and other developed countries face the problem is never encountered serious economic crisis. But politicians and voters also put the focus on taxes and health care reform! Little do they know we are actually faced with the problem worldwide, shrinking consumer demand and international competitive environment of the poor.
The current solution looks like the money is allocated to fund an emergency, or some lower tax burden, or to encourage SMEs to hire more workers. Or, as the euro area the government make an issue of the balance sheet to boost the economy. But these are not proper solution. The policy is only for a short-term stimulus to consumer, but not able to solve the fundamental problem: employment growth in developing economies can be realized, because their products more competitive. The so-called free trade and free competition, has made the United States and the euro-zone countries in trouble a lot. It is estimated that with China's labor cost is only 10% of the U.S. level. More importantly, they can quickly imitate and exceed our production.
How can we restore past glory? It would have to stop junk currency, converted to the production such as steel, automobiles, Ipads, aircraft, corn, and so any world needs only we can do better products. We re-learn how to compete. Investment in infrastructure, industry and education in 21st century research. It does not need to go through a period of easy journey, but it can encourage innovation, education and national change. This is the current Wall Street financial system and simply rely on the consumer is entirely different.
The second approach involves "fraud": through trade and migration barriers, currency devaluation and military control of oil-producing countries. This is good as the previous method, but it is regrettable, easier than previous methods. For example, from the RMB gradually narrowing the arbitrage than the current U.S. labor costs 10 times the gap with China is easy too.
Unless the developed economies began to re-learn the old methods to produce more competitive products and those of its better or smart money will continue to flow to Asia, Brazil and other developing economies, assets and money in the form of doing so. In short, the United States should not be in the "printing money" to work on, although from the current policy of Washington also appears unlikely.
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