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The following article was published in our article directory on December 6, 2010.
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Global Aging Increasingly Rapid

Article Category: Business Management

Author Name: xia zihui

According to the United Nations Population Division statistics, the total world population will increase in the next 40 years, about one third, from 6.9 billion to 9.1 billion. But this will follow a different pattern of population growth in the past - power not from birth, because birth rates around the world are in sharp decline, but mainly to promote the growth of the elderly population. In fact by mid-century, the global number of children under age 5 is expected to decrease 49 million, the population aged over 60 will increase by 12 million. Why does the world become so old, so old so fast?

One reason is that more and more people live to older age. But equally important reason is that during the first decades after World War II baby boom. U.S. and Western Europe in the late forties and fifties in particular experienced a surge in fertility. To the sixties and seventies, most developing countries also experienced a baby boom, but the reasons are different: the sharp drop in infant and child mortality. As these global aging baby boom generation, they contributed to the aging population explosion. In today's Western world, we have seen over 60 years of age in the sharp increase; in 20 years, we will witness the outbreak of the number of 80 year-old man. In most parts of the world in the next few years will follow this pattern.

In the end, the last vestiges of the global impact of baby boomers will be gone. Then, the birth rate continued to fall, the prospect of facing mankind is the rate of decline in population growth rate to its as fast as ever, even faster. The United Nations predicts that by 2150, global population may be only half of the current.

Today, we found that even in those far from rich countries will also appear below the population replacement level birth rate situation. Experts called the "lack of replacement fertility" phenomenon in the seventies of last century first appeared in Scandinavia, then quickly swept through the rest of Europe, Russia, Asia and South America, most of the Caribbean, southern India, and even Lebanon, Morocco, Iran and other Middle East countries. Not sufficient to maintain the current birth rate in the population balance of the 59 countries, 18 by the United Nations as "developing countries", that is, they are not rich.

Most developing countries are experiencing an unprecedented rate of population aging process. Caused by old before getting rich is the city of one of the reasons: It is now more than half of the world's population lives in cities, where children are an expensive burden, not land or take care of other animals to help labor. The other two are often mentioned reason: women have more job opportunities; pensions and other sources of old age more and more popular, people no longer need to rely on large group of children and grandchildren to finance retirement.

However, the outlook for Asia is worse. Those who predict we will celebrate the "Asian century", people still do not realize the approaching old age in Asia. Japan's "lost decade" began in the labor force began shrinking

The late eighties of last century. Now it seems, Japan is not a special case, but a rehearsal for the development of the Asian population.

China, for now, the declining birth rate is still early to enjoy the economic benefits: social only raising fewer children, while more women workers to be employed. However, given the strict one-child policy and the low birth rate, China is rapidly evolving as demographers called the "4-2-1" society - support a child needs two parents and four ancestors / grandparents.

Asia in the next few decades will have long been troubled by a shortage of women. Unbalanced sex ratio in India is almost, but the south (mainly Hindus) in northern states and the states (a higher proportion of Muslims) there is a big gap between the birth rate, which may lead to ethnic tensions intensified.

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