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The following article was published in our article directory on December 6, 2010.
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Article Category: Business Management
Author Name: xia zihui
U.S. November non-farm employment data far better than expected, the dollar fell below 80.0 so frustrated and integer bits, while the largest decline in the euro early in the day harvest rose 200 basis points, can not help but regret the fate of the euro and the dollar is again to change.
Return to quantitative easing, the focus of the United States
In the past month, the focus of currency in Ireland and Europe will undoubtedly focus on the development of the debt crisis, while under the influence of the risk event, the euro fell in November by about 7% in May this year, the worst performance since the month.
Today, the EU has determined the size of Ireland 850 million euros in assistance programs, the European Central Bank to extend liquidity support measures of the time, the new one may mean that non-farm payrolls report once again shift the focus, the investors may from attention back to the debt crisis of the quantitative easing concern the Fed up, but this way, the fate of the euro and the dollar may have to be reversed.
In fact, analysts have already pointed out that the euro against the dollar to rebound, market focus is the wait to return to quantitative easing, as compared with the United States, loose measures, the ECB's policy bias is obviously different, and this difference is the root causes of the weak U.S. dollar.
Major currencies, "opposite"
As some analysts have described, QE2 and the Irish financial crisis such as the U.S. dollar and the euro currency among the mainstream of the game, in which investors will need to make difficult decisions - are still buying euros to buy dollars.
The two "opposite" not come to finale. Right now, QE3 faint to claim that the rise of the market again begin to pay attention if the Fed's attitude and performance of the U.S. economy, the dollar will probably return to decline; but the European sovereign debt crisis on the adverse effects of the euro may not so easily out of the market, not only the United States may have QE3, in Ireland after becoming the second Greek, Portuguese or Spanish can also become the third fall of the euro zone countries.
Despite the attitude of the ECB is still going towards the direction of flow out effort, but the debt crisis could result in suppression of the euro. Standard & Poor's rating agency said last week in the next 3 months to decide whether the rating down to Portugal; and Spain after the adoption of fiscal austerity strike broke out of their country, and the government has declared a state of emergency. Is the debt crisis of the European situation remains grim, some institutions will continue to forecast the euro may fall.
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