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The following article was published in our article directory on November 29, 2010.
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Goods Vulnerable Situation Short-term Difficult to Reverse

Article Category: Business

Author Name: xia zihui

U.S. dollar index broke the 80 mark

More than the past two weeks, the commodity market bulls have been subjected to "vertical attack." Most representative of the United States offer "cotton candy" was diving by 27%, respectively, and 20%, while the seemingly docile CBOT soybeans, had plummeted by 11%. While the above products to lead a new wave of products to adjust, but the more optimistic investors over the past two weeks will fall temporarily in the commodities defined as "a rally in the callback," the most fundamental basis of the judge is also "weak dollars "expectations.

This is the best U.S. hopes were quickly crushed by the strong counter-offensive.

On Friday, the U.S. dollar against other major currencies, two-month highs, the euro / dollar exchange rate fell to 1.3200, the dollar / yen exchange rate since the end of September is the first time since breaking 84 points, while the dollar index has finally recovered the whole 80 point. The focus of this wave of speculation, investors are the latest sign of the euro area to respond to the debt crisis, while escalating on the Korean Peninsula, concerned about the tensions, which have caused the dollar's rebound. Positive euro-zone countries, Portugal and the European Central Bank press for its acceptance of a similar rescue plan with the Irish, the news helped the dollar rose nearly 0.9% against the euro, reflecting the tensions as the U.S. dollar currency hedge for investors to attract force in growing.

In fact, this wave of U.S. counter-offensive and December 2009 are exactly the same, when the dollar crisis with Greece, the "wind" from less than 75 the whole point of a sharp rebound after 7 months or more than 18%. Although this year was 2 to 4 months showed a larger rebound in commodities, but in December 2009 to June this year, rising U.S. dollar environment, the major downward trend in commodity prices is still the reaction is most intense during this period copper prices in London had fluctuations occur multiple times, the overall reduction of about 1,000 U.S. dollars / ton. Running from the law of the long-term U.S. dollar index to see, its strong market trend, technical breakthrough unilateral movements often last for several months, which may make the goods have been traumatized beyond resurrection.

After the first time in 5 months, the U.S. dollar and the international commodity linkage seems like it starts, and the pressure of domestic commodity markets may be even greater. Weakness in outside markets late last year with a single bad compared to domestic goods will face today's tightening of monetary policy, state regulation of prices and rates of increase, etc. The market for multi-hit. Industry sources say that the U.S. dollar has returned to the whole point of the top 80, in addition to frequent domestic bad policy, the goods will remain next week, tumbled, such as metal, rubber, cotton and other species is still a strong pre-short "special care" the object, the operation based on short-selling should also be rallies.

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