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The following article was published in our article directory on November 29, 2010.
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The Debt Crisis Will Drive the Trade Dispute

Article Category: Business

Author Name: xia zihui

Are subjected to sovereign debt crises plagued the Irish in the last week introduced a fiscal reform plan, the country hopes the next four years (2011 | 2014) reduce the 15 billion euros of the budget deficit. Programs include increased VAT rate, lower the minimum wage, reducing (or even abolition) of certain tax incentives and reduce the scale of the size of government transfer payments and so on. 15 billion euros with 10 billion euros in spending cuts from the other five billion euros from taxes and other income.

Irish success? The key question is whether the Government may not have sufficient ability to reduce spending, but the overall economic performance. Because once the state of the economy and the tightening of fiscal policy a significant slowdown, tightening of fiscal policy can ease the financial crisis, but may intensify. Irish Government is that the next 4 years the average economic growth rate of 2.75%, economist at Global Insight, however, that due to financial constraints will inevitably make the Irish under pressure in domestic demand (subject to financial constraints are often the most influential people rather than government) economic growth are pinned on the hope of fact on export growth.

Outside of Ireland and Greece in addition, many countries are facing the same problem. Most countries in Europe to tighten fiscal, if the sovereign debt crisis continues to spread, will be increasing pressure to tighten.

Even the United States, the situation is the same. The United States needs a comprehensive reform of the budget system, in order to avoid the experiences of Greece and Ireland in the United States to reproduce.

In Bair view, examples of Greece and Ireland told us that if investors lost confidence in the results of government bonds will happen. Bair that although the present U.S. government's task is to rebuild the financial system structure and economic growth, but also need the next time to prepare before the crisis hit, one important task is to rebuild the U.S. financial system. According to Bair's data, the total size of the U.S. federal debt has doubled in the past 7 years, reaching 14 trillion dollars.

Control of expenditure has become the trend in developed countries, but financial constraints and in order to leverage their time when consumers to sustain economic growth, exports will be more and more countries concerned. Obama made early in the year plan to double exports, the Bank of England Governor Mervyn King said earlier this year, Britain needs to expand overseas markets to make up for insufficient domestic demand.

The background of financial stringency in all countries, developed countries hope to share in the global demand for a larger share of the market to sustain its economic growth, but the slowdown in global demand in the context, this often means facing another round of trade disputes.

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