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The following article was published in our article directory on November 26, 2010.
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U.S. Real Estate Market Does Not Recover

Article Category: Business

Author Name: Amanda xzh

As the source of the financial crisis caused the U.S. housing market bubble burst three years later in yet recovered. Latest data show that second-hand housing market in October U.S. housing sales and prices both fell in the state, and American optimism about the real estate market is declining.

Analysts believe that the United States and high unemployment led to cautious consumer spending has become the biggest obstacle to the housing market rebound. At the same time, a large number of "shadow inventory" the housing market there is also a threat to the recovery, the next significant improvement in the demand can not be the case, the excess supply will lead to a further decline in U.S. real estate prices.

Weak demand for employment down

U.S. housing market to pick up the biggest obstacle is the U.S. nearly 10% of the high unemployment rate. Because of high unemployment caused consumers to worry about future income prospects, reducing the demand for homes is expected to remain stagnant U.S. housing market next year, the recovery will be long.

The nation's second-largest home builder Tom Horton, CEO of Nitze expected, due to consumer confidence and employment is still weak, the real estate industry in 2011 will be challenging, real estate agency in terms of the United States the most important spring selling season may does not appear to increase the housing needs of the traditional situation.

At the same time, most industry insiders believe that the recent outbreak of "foreclosure door" may pose a risk to the U.S. housing sales. The Fed announced on November 23 in the latest Federal Reserve meeting, said: "Some banks recently announced temporarily stop foreclosure is likely to further damage the housing sales in the short term. The prospects of employment and income consumers pessimistic housing and other factors also inhibit seek. "

In the case of weak demand, "shadow inventory" surge in supply pressure caused by threats to the U.S. housing market has also become an important factor in recovery.

"Shadow inventory" usually consists of foreclosed homes and bank repossessed houses for sale but not yet listed, once the banks a lot of these housing market could lead to falling house prices and lead to more loan defaults and foreclosures.

22 authorities released data show that 8 of the end of this year, the U.S. housing "shadow inventory" is expected to 210 million units, an increase of 10%, these stocks need to digest 8 months time. Including the shadow of the total inventory, including inventory amounted to 6.3 million units, the time required to digest 23 months, almost three to four times the normal level.

Shadow of the growing stock is likely to continue for some time, and the weak U.S. housing demand, increased the risk of further decline in house prices. U.S. economist Dales of Capital Economics said: "The ever-increasing supply of foreclosures will impose the weight of weak demand in the market."

While the "shadow inventory" of existing stocks is uncertain when the switch, and some large banks survey questions for this reason regulatory authorities to suspend the foreclosure documents foreclosures in some areas, but in any case the houses will eventually enter the market. Analysts said this means that the U.S. housing market will deteriorate further before the recovery. Moody's analyst expects U.S. home prices next year will be down 8%. Currently, the U.S. housing peak in 2006 has fallen by one third.

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