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The following article was published in our article directory on November 26, 2010.
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Federal Reserve Radical Economic Stimulus Measures Stagnate

Article Category: Business Management

Author Name: xia zihui

Fed released minutes of November meeting, the Fed in mid-October at a special meeting considered a more radical economic stimulus measures, the final "stillborn."

In summary, the Fed announced the cut growth forecasts for this year. On the same day, the U.S. Department of Commerce has raised its economic growth rate in the third quarter estimates. Analysts believe that the two authoritative economic growth data, "one high and one low", with real estate, financial sector issues frequently burst of economic data, which have shown that the U.S. economy is still bumpy road to recovery.

The Fed has to consider radical solutions

23 Fed released minutes of the 11 February meeting, held in October discussed non-routine meeting of a more radical economic stimulus package, including setting specific targets and Treasury bond yields to buy strategy.

Although the Fed rejected the policy, but this seems to indicate that the 600 billion U.S. dollars if the new round of quantitative easing measures, the inflation rate continued to fall, then pegged to the 10-year bond yields and other long-term interest rates or the Fed will be the next policy options.

Minutes show that most members agreed the second launch of the decision of quantitative easing policy, but to buy more long-term risks of the securities on the economy, and possible costs and benefits of diverse views.

8 times a year the Federal Reserve monetary policy decision-making at regular meeting. A recent meeting in November 2 -3 held. This meeting, the Fed continued to maintain the federal funds rate to 0.25% in the low level of zero, and announced the launch of a total of 600 billion U.S. dollars in the second round of quantitative easing monetary policy to boost employment and stimulate economic growth. But this policy lead to widely questioned in the world and criticism.

Wells Fargo Securities senior analyst said, "Federal Reserve officials on the new round of quantitative easing policy has been so divided as a surprise. It is clear that the final policy is relaxed, driven by Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke finally introduced. "

Nomura Securities analyst Zach Pande believes that "the members continue to stress the advantages and disadvantages of further relaxation of the policy, they clearly believe that more good than harm at the meeting, but, as Bernanke has said publicly that it, they will more cautious approach to relax the policy, taking into account the potential costs of quantitative easing, they will not at this meeting to relax the policy on a massive scale. "

"One high and one low" highlights the "dilemma"

U.S. Department of Commerce and the authority of the Federal Reserve economic data released the two agencies issued the same day 23 about the economic growth data. On the one hand, the Commerce Department raised its third-quarter estimates of economic growth; the other hand, the Fed lowered its economic growth forecast this year. Analysts believe that the two authoritative economic growth data, "one high and one low" that the U.S. economy is still bumpy road to recovery.

Look in the third quarter economic growth data. U.S. Department of Commerce issued on the day of the third quarter of this year, real gross domestic product (GDP) of the second estimate, the first of October estimate was amended upward, from growth of 2.0% to 2.5% growth, 2.4% higher than economists expected. This growth is due to increased consumer spending, private inventory investment, non-residential housing in fixed assets investment, exports and federal government spending and other projects have been improved.

Look at the Federal Reserve data. Fed interest rate decision day-to-date a meeting, lowered its full year forecast of U.S. economic growth. The report shows that the Federal Reserve that U.S. economic growth this year will be 2.4 to 2.5 percent, significantly lower than in June this year, from 3.0 to 3.5 percent forecast. The Fed also lowered its 2011 economic growth, from the June forecast from 3.5 to 4.2% down to 3.0 to 3.6 percent. Compare the forecast in June, the Federal Reserve at the meeting held on the overall economic situation is relatively pessimistic. In addition to GDP growth, the Fed also raised its unemployment forecast that the unemployment rate in 2010 will be 9.5 to 9.7 percent range in 2011 will be between 8.9 to 9.1 percent.

Both the Ministry of Commerce or the Federal Reserve's report of 23 have prompted the U.S. economy faces risks. Ministry of Commerce pointed out that the residential housing fixed investment is still grim. The Fed is focused around its two major responsibilities - to maintain price stability and the promotion of full employment to summarize the current economic situation, the tone of its report with the Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke's recent speech several times the same slow progress in these two areas that are "so disappointing. "

American Nobel laureate in economics Paul Krugman, 23, warned that the U.S. economy could face further Japan's footsteps, "liquidity trap" in the low interest rates remained stagnant economic growth and deflation.

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