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The following article was published in our article directory on November 25, 2010.
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Article Category: Business
Author Name: Amanda xzh
First, the growth rate and the asymmetry between the degree of economic recovery. Financial crisis in the global economy fell by nearly 10% (United States and Europe more). Rebound in economic growth the past two years, but from the amount or terms of the absolute level is still below the surface, the amount of production and consumption have not recovered to pre-crisis levels, which resulted in the growth rate and life experience confusion, recovery and the employment gap.
Second, the developed countries and emerging asymmetry between the national recovery. U.S. consumers and European governments are busy to leverage, growth momentum is obviously insufficient, financial intermediation has not recovered. United States, Europe, the global economy has lagged behind the recovery, mainly from the news bad news there. Damaged by the financial crisis in emerging countries is not deep, relatively sound fiscal, domestic demand increased significantly. 4.7% global growth this year, some 2.8 percentage points from emerging countries, while the United States, Europe, Japan contributed 1.2 percentage points, however, an increase of anxiety, mainly from the G3 economies.
Third, the excess liquidity and the asymmetry between bank lending. Quantitative easing policy in the global restart, leading to further proliferation of liquidity, monetary policy environment is very relaxed, low interest rates. But U.S. and European banks are plagued by bad assets, loans will lower. The financial intermediary function of banks necrosis, the central bank's loose policies can not be transmitted to the real economy, creating in the real economy and the financial and economic mobility in contrast felt great.
Fourth, financial markets and the asymmetry between the job market. Ultra-low cost of capital, bring excitement to market speculation, financial asset prices soaring, and stocks, bonds, energy, metals, gold, agricultural products a Qifei Yang. However, due to bank reluctance to lend, businesses Shenxing, employment recovery difficult, largely jobless recovery in the U.S. and Europe is facing. The current progress, the United States at least seven years to recover to 2007 levels of employment.
V., G3 countries and emerging countries, commodity inflation, the asymmetric countries. Weakness in the labor market in the United States and Europe at almost no inflation, but over-easy monetary conditions in the rest of the world are creating inflation and asset price bubbles. This difference causes the direction of monetary policy is not synchronized, however, the impact of the U.S. Federal Reserve than the other central banks.
Five or more asymmetric will continue to exist in 2011, the market is still the economy and the market, deflation and inflation, asset and employment struggle.
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