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The following article was published in our article directory on November 25, 2010.
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The Global Economy Three Keywords In 2011

Article Category: Business Management

Author Name: xia zihui

To stimulate the job market, the U.S. Federal Reserve in the code on top of quantitative easing, the dollar amount of liquidity and the unprecedented day should be described. Recovery takes time, as banks, lending significant increase in difficult moment, I believe the Fed's policy effects, mainly in the weak U.S. dollar and asset prices above. Although the U.S. claims the strong dollar policy has not changed, but in fact the pursuit of the dollar Washington, orderly, decent devalued. However, by currency depreciation to seek additional growth momentum is built on exports at the expense of other countries, this expense of others is bound to conduct counter-stricken countries. To counter the dollar's weakness, many governments and central banks have launched their own quantitative easing or liquidity constraints, so that U.S. policy is not ideal. The next three years are at high risk of trade protectionism, a variety of trade war, the exchange rate war could erupt at any time.

U.S. dollar remains the global economy thermometer. The U.S. dollar, the reaction process of the U.S. economic recovery, reflecting the United States and the rest of the world's shift in economic power, reflects the flow of global funds and changes in interest rate expectations, but also implies commodity prices, the carry trade ups and downs of the password. Fluctuations in foreign exchange in 2011 estimated that a substantial, but I tend to believe the dollar will rebound.

The judge for two reasons: 1. European exports to Japan plummeted instability and debt, the dollar was rising. 2. In the second half of 2011, the economy is turning around, the market is estimated that quantitative easing may be adjusted. Once the dollar, downward pressure on both prices of risky assets, the bond market, emerging market risk implied by the high valuations, particularly worth noting. I believe that the prices of risky assets in 2011 were high to low momentum, and the divergence between the growth rate of the phenomenon.

U.S. economic growth in 2011 2.5%, CPI to 1% growth in the United States over the weak pre-crisis levels, but from the "double-dip," a far cry from. Japan increased 0.6%, CPI was -0.5%, exports fell below the Japanese economy is still in a state of deflation. Europe increased 3.2%, CPI 1.6%, where the growth rate significantly faster than most people expected, the German economy is much greater than the five-nation European debt, much stronger. China's growth 9.2%, CPI to 5%, inflation lingering shadow, may lead to the normalization of interest rates to accelerate.

GDP growth in low-speed, high asset prices fall, the dollar and bond market rally may have an impact on risky assets, is the author of the 2011 predictions.

Keywords: China Special cable, China High voltage cable

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