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The following article was published in our article directory on November 10, 2010.
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Article Category: Business
Author Name: xia zihui
China to raise interest rates. The result is a substantial appreciation of the dollar, the bulk of consumer goods prices. Even in non-deliverable forward market (NDF), the yuan's market began to decline. Thus, the exchange-rate appreciation will encourage more inflows of hot money myth proved unfounded. Now, Brazil and South Korea have begun to take measures to limit hot money inflows. If existing measures fail to end, they will definitely take more drastic steps. U.S. Treasury and the Fed want to hot money into emerging markets to create asset bubbles, the restructuring of the U.S. economy for a favorable international conditions. But if the Americans reached the end, emerging markets will recover in the United States after working themselves into a serious crisis, as occurred in 1998 had to be. Fortunately, emerging market countries have learned the lessons of the past, and for their own survival.
Why, after China rate hike, the dollar but will appreciated? With the financial jargon, this is a speculative asset tired of everyone to eat dishes. In other words, how many great men leading the bubble feel a little fear. Speculators with the U.S. Treasury Department created a tacit agreement to begin speculation in asset markets in emerging countries. These emerging market countries through the foam to create strong demand to overcome the adverse exchange rate factors. This will make the U.S. get the opportunity to enhance their own economic situation, the channel is to achieve these bubbles countries to increase exports. This trick has succeeded over the U.S., savings and loan crisis of that time, was small for such action. But only those gestures was enough for the emerging markets between 1997 and 2000 into a serious crisis.
Like Geithner and Bernanke, who will not have any sense of shame. Personally concocted their policies, coupled with the policies they support, resulting in the biggest bubble since 1929, destroying the American economy, then they spend trillions of dollars of taxpayer money to rescue the financial system, saying that if the financial system crashes the Great Depression will come, and save the financial industry would allow the economy back to normal. In accordance with the Zhefan fallacy, even though the taxpayer is taking hard-earned money to fund their own private interests that press villain, this is the rational choice in its own interests! Now, the banking system has been rescued, and the successful completion of another round of mergers. But bank lending will still not strong, especially reluctant to provide loans to SMEs. Of course, the big banks do not always lend to SMEs, who had a small lending to the SME Bank and is still struggling in the quagmire of crisis. SMEs to achieve most of the jobs, they live a period of difficult, high unemployment, what is strange? Bernanke and his ilk's rescue measures, in fact, for the unemployment rate rising waves. Now, they want through the depreciation of the dollar to solve the unemployment problem, they do not control how low the U.S. dollar is down, and regardless of the bubble in emerging market countries will be developed to how serious they are ugly as long as the improvement of the employment data in the United States like that.
Emerging market countries now have begun to fight back. An optional simple way is to refuse to hot money inflows. The financial sector often say: you can not resist the trend of the market (that is their own.) However, if they came to your country will be in prison, or all of their assets within your borders will be confiscated, the "market" who can win? Yes, as a sovereign state, the above are extreme measures can be taken. Moreover, these people will not disappear, they'll still play the same set of tricks.
Emerging economies is no longer so easily deceived. This time, they will not act as a U.S. puppet. They have begun to fight back, take control of the foam and the domestic exchange rate. If they are guaranteed to maintain its exchange rate stability, the turbulence on the foreign exchange market will gradually disappear. Now most of the world of speculative capital in the foreign exchange market. If the exchange rate volatility is no longer, these funds will begin to find another way out. The most likely destination is the commodities market. Commodity prices, the impact on U.S. consumers added tax similar to Fu. As a result, the Fed let the dollar fall strategy, it may lead directly to inflation rather than economic growth. Fed shooting itself in the foot, may be broken to pain.
After the massive bubble, will experience any long-term national economic downturn, because macroeconomic adjustment takes time. The United States is no exception. Face reality, get down to work to carry out the adjustment of economic structure, will make the whole world a better place. Pains to plan for conspiracy to act as "quick fixes" to the whole world will bring more trouble and confusion.
70s in the 20th century, the United States has also taken over the currency devaluation strategy, given the same reason, to achieve a similar purpose. That time around the world have resulted in widespread confusion, and the U.S. economy into the abyss of a long-term stagflation. This time, the world will work together to prevent the United States may make the same mistakes, is to intervene in the exchange rate. This is not the currency of war, but the treatment of U.S. economic ills medicine.
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