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The following article was published in our article directory on November 9, 2010.
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Using the U.S. Economy Boosted the Stock Market

Article Category: Business

Author Name: Amanda xzh

Some people say that QE2 is the devil, some people say it is an angel. As the American rapper Lil Wayne controversial Well, the "How many people hate me, there will be many people love me."

This week, investment bank giants Goldman Sachs the first to come out to support the QE2. Chairman of Goldman Sachs Asset Management, has a "'BRIC' the father of" the reputation of O'Neill said that with the introduction of a new round of easing, the dollar will fall further, while global stock markets will continue to soar. Projected to 2030, the market value of emerging markets will account for 55% of global stock market capitalization. This means that China's stock market will account for 29%, India 5%, Russia 4%. And to 2018, Brazil, Russia, India and China together the four countries of the GDP, will be equal with the United States. I believe the Fed will be committed to the greatest efforts to revitalize the economy to prevent deflation.

Goldman Sachs chief U.S. economist JanHatzius more confident about the prospects for the U.S. economy. He believes that the U.S. economy in the next few quarters will remain 1.5% to 2% of the moderate growth, while the second half of 2011 will increase to 3%, partly due to the Fed launched QE2. Meanwhile, in recent months will improve the financial environment, thereby supporting the economic development. In fact, the Fed announced a significant quantitative easing, but not dramatic, can not immediately play a role.

Nevertheless, a large number of housing supply will weigh on the property market. Housing vacancy rate and the vacant room only slightly lower. In this way, should not create excessive housing, which will pressure prices. It is noteworthy that, Goldman Sachs Hang Seng Index also raised expectations the next 12 months to 29,000 points. It is reported that Goldman Sachs, led by KingerLau researchers believe that with continued inflow of capital from emerging markets, developed markets, Hong Kong will benefit the most. Of impending liquidity may be far more than market expectations.

But ironically, to sing at the Goldman Sachs wantonly market after Hong Kong, China Hong Kong Monetary Authority Chief Executive Norman Chan on Thursday bluntly, QE2 will bring Hong Kong and the negative effects of emerging markets, Hong Kong's property bubble risk is growing. The United States can achieve this effect, the key is whether open access to credit, access to finance for small and medium enterprises to create more employment opportunities. The next few months, financial markets may have a different evaluation of the effectiveness of the QE2, which may be greater volatility. China, Hong Kong Monetary Authority will be closely monitoring the market situation, if asset prices continue to rise, will take further measures.

Data showed U.S. third quarter GDP growth of 2%, slightly higher than 1.7% in the second quarter, in line with market expectations. Among them, the third-quarter consumer spending rose 2.6%, the highest since the financial crisis, the biggest single-season increase. The second quarter and first quarter increased by 2.2% and 1.9%. Inflation in the third quarter does not include energy and food prices, consumer price index rose 0.8%, a decline of 0.2 percentage points, indicating the overall level of inflation is still very moderate.

Has a "Wall Street crazy," said the CNBC financial show host known CRAMER, have recently expressed support for QE2. He said the new round of quantitative easing will not only boost the stock market will also stimulate economic recovery. First of all, QE2 is the last resort decision. The Fed can not effectively stimulate the housing market demand and the job market, the only thing to do is to inject liquidity. Only in this way have a chance to reproduce the business and the stock market rally; Secondly, QE2 will push the dollar exchange rate and stimulate exports, the exporters get better results with the case of zero interest rates, capital market will also return; Finally, when the stock market after bullish funds to stimulate consumption, retail warming, higher performance, in turn, stimulate capital flowed back in the stock market. This is what Bernanke really want to do, he will succeed.

However, the decision to the lifeblood of the U.S. economic recovery - recovery in the job market is still slow. According to the U.S. Labor Department report showed Thursday, as of October 30 for the week for the first time jobless claims rose by 2 million to 45.7 million. Worse than market expectations had increased by 1.1 million people. As of Oct. 23 when the weekly jobless claims continued to decrease 4.2 million to 434 million, hitting the lowest level in 2 years. In addition, in October the number of U.S. private sector jobs of 4.3 million people, nearly double market expectations. It is understood, will be released Friday, the U.S. non-farm payrolls in October. Analysts expect the October unemployment rate was unchanged at 9.6% in September, nonfarm payrolls increased by 6 million people.

European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet on Thursday's meeting on interest rates did not attack on the QE2. He admitted to the United States has not actively promoted by printing dollar. Despite the emerging market countries dissatisfied QE2, but the strong dollar is in U.S. interests. European Central Bank will wait until December before deciding whether to withdraw aid policy in times of crisis, such as commercial banks to provide unlimited short-term mobility. After the meeting, some analysts have pointed out that there is no indication that the ECB will follow up the implementation of the quantitative easing policy.

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