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The following article was published in our article directory on November 9, 2010.
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Assets Foam Flooded the World

Article Category: Business

Author Name: Amanda xzh

57, Ben Bernanke, the Federal Reserve before entering, but also a Princeton University economics professor. He looked very shy and bookish full, not as a gambler. And he is doing may be the largest in U.S. history, a gamble on the economy.

First proposed the censure is a Nobel laureate Robert Mundell. He believes that the Fed buying bonds to stimulate the economy moves, or will the euro higher against the dollar. European Central Bank to control inflation because the central bank can not suppress the function of the euro's appreciation of the euro's appreciation and possible deflation. Deflation will increase the debt of the "real value", and trigger deflation in Europe. In addition, the deflation will make the European sovereign credit deterioration, weakening the solvency of the debtor countries.

"The Fed is in a very dangerous road, the best is that we can have inflation and growth, but the downside risk is very high." President Axel Merck Merck Fund (AxelMerk) shelled the road, "Bernanke that the dollar The weak can stimulate the economy. We hope this is only a gradual decline, rather than the rapidly declining. QE2 at this level compared to the previous efforts have little chance of success, not even. In the end people want to leverage these funds will enter sensitive areas, including commodity prices, the Australian dollar and other speculative tools. "

Not only that, more capital will drive down the dollar QE2 predators attack and generate inflationary effect. The world's largest bond fund - Pacific Investment Management Company (PIMCO) Gross, chief investment officer (BillGross) that if the Fed will continue to implement non-traditional monetary easing, U.S. fear of the next few years will be depreciated by 20%. In fact, QE2 is not only released more dollars, but also reduces the rate of return of investors to make foreign investors reluctant to hold its current form or price dollars. To some extent, the dollar may be the U.S. Treasury and the Fed would like to see. However, the Fed restart the QE, is likely to mean 30-year bond bull market is about to end. To the hundreds of millions of dollars into financial markets, the bond market is by no means good, and the resulting inflation and expansion of public debt as much as a Ponzi scheme.

Statistics show that the scale of the FED to buy 600 billion U.S. dollars of treasury bonds planned ,17-30-year treasury bonds to buy size of only 4% of 2.5-10-year government bonds to buy size of more than 80%. This has prompted the market to sell 30-year bonds, instead buying short-term debt. As of 4 May, the benchmark 10-year bond was up 27/32 to yield 2.48%; 5-year and 2 year yield hit a record intraday low of 1.015 percent were, 0.316%. In contrast, only a 30-year bond rose 10/32, the yield had risen to nearly 3-month high. 30-year and 10-year bond yields touched the difference between 157 basis points, a record high.

QE2 came out, the dollar is facing a long, sharp depreciation of the situation. According to statistics, as of 10:00 on Friday, the U.S. dollar against the yen since October the cumulative depreciation of 3% to 80.92, hit a 15 year low. Recently, the Japanese politicians to break the silence and issued a stern warning against the yen appreciation. Japanese Finance Minister Ye Tian Jiayan today reiterated the Government would not ignore the substantial appreciation of the yen will once again intervene in the foreign exchange market when necessary. Japanese Prime Minister Naoto Kan, admitted that the United States adopted the "dollar" policy is that rising emerging market currencies, the Japanese increased risk of economic downturn.

It is worth mentioning that, QE2 and even high-level U.S. government has been strongly criticized. It is reported that the former Fed chairman, the current U.S. economic recovery and Advisory Board Chairman Volcker said on Tuesday, QE2 will likely lead to inflation, and the scale will give rise to concern. Continued loose monetary policy for too long will lead to greater asset bubbles. Also, the U.S. unemployment rate is unlikely, the U.S. economic problems will not soon be resolved.

According to reports, China's central bank governor Zhou Xiaochuan said on Friday that the United States can be understood to QE2 for its economic recovery, but from a global perspective is not necessarily the optimal choice, will have adverse effects on the global economy. China is the normal capital inflows do not have management measures as possible to prevent hot money inflows. Data show that as of Friday 13:30, newspaper 6.6615 yuan against the U.S. dollar, and this week, the RMB has appreciated 0.13% against the U.S. dollar.

China's central bank Monetary Policy Committee, Finance Department, Tsinghua University pointed out that this global financial crisis developed economies in the world, in this context, as some developed countries, assets of financial institutions to carry a heavy burden Even cash would not be fully invest directly in small and medium enterprises, and short-term priority is to improve the quality of assets, and improve the quality of assets the best way is to buy mature products issued by Capital Market. So it comes as no quantitative easing on the U.S. economy itself, a short-term, direct and fundamental influence. Zhang Jianhua of China's central bank believes that the Secretary, QE2 will result in foreign capital inflows in emerging markets including China, and will be reflected in asset prices. Upward pressure on price levels can not be ignored. China should gradually return to normal, stable monetary policy, central banks need to strengthen liquidity management, and guide the appropriate growth of credit.

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