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The following article was published in our article directory on November 9, 2010.
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Article Category: Business
Author Name: xia zihui
When the huge amount of nearly 1 trillion dollars of liquidity into the financial system has been gradually, the U.S. stock market began to boom in emerging markets will be the inflow of dollars due to profit-driven reproduction of vitality. With like China, Vietnam and Australia, high interest rates gradually warming the national economy, the U.S. led multinational business growth will drive the Americans are more willing to 401K pension spending. Then, the bank will say, you are welcome mortgage ... ... This seems to be a Spring Subway, carrying everyone's dream.
But when you wake up, you will find next to an anesthetic, the above was shocked to read: QE2, the Fed manufacturing.
QE Behind: U.S. financial system "is not short of money"
March 2009, the Fed releases the first to demonstrate the mobility of nuclear weapons-QE (QE). Under the arrangement, the Fed will buy in the next six months, total 300 billion U.S. dollars in the long-term bonds. At the same time, also to buy "two rooms" secured real estate mortgage bonds 850,000,000,000 U.S. dollars. Statistics show that since early last year to this March, the Fed has bought a total of up to 1.75 trillion U.S. dollars of the securities.
QE shortly after the launch was really solved the problem of liquidity Kuhe. According to WIND showed overnight dollar LIBOR (London Interbank Offered Rate) had October 30, 2008 high of 6.875 percent hit a record high since 1990. This means that if a large bank in London overnight $ 10,000,000 needed it to pay nearly $ 700,000 in interest. The high lending interest rates in January 2001 has occurred. The United States was the largest in history through the dot-com crisis.
December 31, 2009, the U.S. dollar overnight LIBOR reported 0.1688%, compared to 2008 peak and the end of February 2009 total were down 671 basis points, 19 basis points. As of yesterday, the dollar overnight LIBOR 0.2256% reported that, although modest gains over last year, but is still low. Show relatively ample dollar liquidity. It is worth mentioning that the inter-bank lending to each other will measure an important indicator of-TED spread (3 month dollar LIBOR and the March U.S. Treasury yield difference) from the launch of the first round of the QE after falling significantly. Data show that TED spread newspaper 0.1556 percent yesterday, compared with October 14, 2008 as low as 414 basis points.
On the one hand, the release of a large number of new U.S. asset prices associated with Hurricane. From the March 2009 date, the Dow Jones industrial index has soared 62%, S & P 500 up 66% of the total. The external market, the Shanghai index has shot up 50%; the other hand, to avoid the U.S. economy sliding into deep recession. Fourth quarter 2008 U.S. GDP fell by 6.3% per annum, but by 2009 had grown 3.5% in Q3, just 9 months time, a formal farewell to the U.S. economy recession.
However, from the first half of this year, U.S. economic growth has significantly slowed down. The second quarter of this year, U.S. GDP growth of 1.6% annual rate, far less than one quarter of 2.7%. Consumer spending during the period for which annual rate, decreased by 0.3 percentage points. In addition, the July existing home sales fell 27% to 3.83 million, the largest decline in 11 years. The same month, nonfarm employment fell by 13.1 million people, far worse than expected 6.5 million reduction in the unemployment rate remained unchanged at 9.5% high.
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