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The following article was published in our article directory on November 8, 2010.
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Price Appreciation Also Cause Trouble Monetary Policy Dilemma

Article Category: Business

Author Name: Amanda xzh

Quantitative easing policy of the United States scheduled second released to meet its global stock and commodity markets and emerging economies, a broad based consensus crusade. Deflation risks facing the United States hopes to boost employment through quantitative easing and inflation, to stimulate economic recovery; and China as the representative of the emerging economies return to a neutral monetary policy already set foot on the road, but now the number one issue facing inflation . When the economic crisis if we all help each other, then now is China and the U.S. monetary policy has been to split the time.

The performance of the U.S. economy is not really optimistic people, out of consideration to avoid re-recession, the Fed Zhineng re-implementation of the quantitative easing policy, trying to reduce long-term capital financing costs to increase business confidence and pushing up inflation expectations, thereby promoting employment market recovery and consumer capability. Is the so-called "poverty is immune," the Fed would help to reduce the downside risks to their economies, while emerging economies have to face the inflation and therefore the risk of large capital inflows.

The Fed's wishful thinking remains to be seen whether the work, but it is certain that the continuing U.S. policy of quantitative easing and normalization, but also lead to commodity and asset prices, the global economy will face serious inflation risks therefore, the global stock and commodity markets got wind of the day is proof of broad based. It is committed to curbing inflation in emerging economies, nature is worse, to resist the torrent of money will be forced to continue tightening monetary policy. Thus, from Latin America and the major emerging economies in Asia have expressed dissatisfaction with the threat will take measure inhibition of capital inflows and currency appreciation, Brazil, Thailand, South Korea, the Philippines and other countries have started or prepared to carry out controls on capital inflows.

When the economic crisis, the world's major economies have taken extremely loose monetary policy, China's extraordinary four-trillion stimulus contributed to economic recovery, but also makes the Super-inflation in the currency have not been invited. Agricultural price trend this year, from the humble green bean, ginger and garlic start, has spread to the bulk agricultural products and cotton candy, A shares rose sharply in early October, while the price is always high. Time just the past two years, the scene of the last round of inflation is also vivid, February 2008 peak of CPI reached 8.7%, Shanghai Composite Index hit 6124 points in October that year a new high. Is worth noting that two years supply of volume expansion in the M1 a 56%, M2 Kuozhang 53% in 2009, major banks released 9.6 trillion new loans, is twice the normal year of 2010, new loans may reach 8 trillion, basically twice in 2008. Can be expected, this round of inflation, price inflation and asset prices turns up the duality of the more comprehensive and significant, if not controlled, will inevitably impact the real economy vicious.

Fortunately, the fundamentals of the Chinese economy has become stable. From the central bank reported third quarter monetary policy can be seen, the monetary authorities on the future economic growth prospects, while the inflation outlook is quite worried about the first time in nearly three years to raise interest rates, monetary policy is decided that a return to a neutral way to . Re-introduction of quantitative easing Fed policy at this time, no doubt increased the difficulty of China's monetary policy choices. Enormous pressure of RMB appreciation on the one hand, on the other hand is the price inflation and asset price bubbles, internal and external balance will be the focus of all policies, tightening monetary policy rational and orderly, and effective financial regulation, monetary authorities will be a required course for some time.

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