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The following article was published in our article directory on November 1, 2010.
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Article Category: Business
Author Name: xia zihui
How much the size of the Federal Reserve announced measures to stimulate the U.S. will produce what kind of impact, will depend on how the understanding of the market, depending on the relatively common view is that if the stimulation of the limited size of the dollar decline may be reversed; and if it is generous stimulus , it means further disorderly dollar decline.
The pace of follow the Fed, the Bank of Japan monetary policy decision in November regular meeting time from the original 15 to 16 to 4 to 5 days in advance.
Analysts believe the Fed will hedge funds quantitative easing into the yen, the Bank of Japan aimed at a possible new round of the Fed policy of quantitative easing to a timely response.
Bank of Japan kept its benchmark interest rate on Thursday at 0.00% to 0.10% range of the same, and the market had widely expected. In addition, the central bank also announced a five trillion yen of assets purchase program details: Bank of Japan bought 1.5 trillion yen will be the long-term debt, about 2 trillion yen short-term government bonds to 500 billion yen, respectively, of commercial paper and corporate bonds, up to 450 billion yen in the exchange-traded funds, and up to 500 billion yen in Japanese real estate trust. Meanwhile, the bank will be a fixed interest rate, money supply guarantees in the form of a 30 trillion yen in market liquidity.
Although the Bank of Japan Masaaki Shirakawa Bank said last week that the Federal Reserve Bank of Japan interest-rate schedule is not the reason to change the meeting time, time to start early in advance is simply to buy exchange-traded funds and Japanese real estate investment trust, but the market's interpretation is generally Bank of Japan aimed at a possible new round of the Fed policy of quantitative easing to a timely response, if the Fed take action, the Bank of Japan also followed the implementation of new interventions.
A strong yen on the economic impact has been initially apparent: Japan's economic recovery is losing momentum, deflation is also getting worse. Japan's September export growth slowed to the lowest this year, and 9 months industrial output is also the fourth consecutive monthly decline.
Analysts pointed out that no signs of improvement if the strong yen, down one yen interventions around the corner.
Ichi Life Research Institute in Tokyo Hideo Kumano, chief economist recently said that the Bank of Japan and the Fed has a new round of currency devaluation race ready. Credit Suisse believes that, even if the Japanese government intervention in currency markets and the Bank of Japan's quantitative easing policy is still not weaken the yen, the bank said: "Without intervention, the dollar against the yen will penetrate the 80."
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