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The following article was published in our article directory on October 29, 2010.
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Article Category: Business
Author Name: Amanda xzh
As China has undervalued its currency pegged the renminbi and the United States, the United States after the financial crisis, the dollar depreciation would mean the RMB against each other world currencies. But China is the world's currency war is really the culprit it?
South Korea, Brazil, Taiwan, Japan, Switzerland and many other central banks are buying dollars to prevent their appreciation of their currencies in order to protect their exports. More than 1.4 U.S. dollars for euro, Europe is nervous. This goes well beyond the purchasing power parity rate of $ 1.17.
Today, the U.S. is taking stringent measures against China, but also preparing a trade war. (U.S.) Congress has authorized the President, if China is still reluctant to substantially increase the value of the RMB against the U.S. dollar, then the imposition of import duties on Chinese goods.
But the yuan is undervalued - the current low of 45% - already existed for many years. Why the United States suddenly taken aggressive measures? Why the United States earlier steps are not taken it?
The reason is that capital flows. U.S. trade with China in the past earned dollars to fill the deficit the United States, the United States to accept the value of the yuan undervalued. Now, Chinese people like the capital investment to Africa and other parts of the raw materials, which makes U.S. policymakers angry.
Also cold to the United States got cheaper
Changes in China's investment is very intense. In 2008-2009, China 17 billion U.S. dollars per month rate to buy U.S. government bonds. But in September 2009, China changed the direction of investment. In 2010, the first 7 months, China has not only not buying U.S. government bonds, and even start selling their bonds. China's net sale of $ 7,000,000,000 a month of U.S. government bonds. Nerves is the United States now fully understandable.
City of London investment into the gap left by China, increased its purchases of U.S. government bonds. In the period 2008-2009, the London monthly purchases of about $ 1,000,000,000, in the first 7 months of this year to an average of 28 billion U.S. dollars per month. As the United Kingdom itself is a capital-importing countries, so we can guess, is not they hold these bonds in London, but by simply re-packaging these bonds, and then get a stamp on these bonds have a new name stamped in London, and then turn sales to the rest of the world.
Although no longer provide funding for the U.S. government, but China is still the world's largest net exporter of capital, since 2006, China has maintained this position. In 2007-2008, China's average annual output of 400 billion U.S. dollars of capital. At that time, the U.S. $ 800,000,000,000 per year of capital input, to offset the almost complete interruption of private savings, most of China's export of capital flow to the United States. Chinese people do not want to spend so many years, Americans can rely on borrowed funds to build new houses, unable to sustain the U.S. economy to maintain a level of consumption.
Of course, Chinese people generally do not provide for the U.S. private real estate funds. They generally buy only government bonds, and by the semi-state institutions Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac securities issued by real estate tools. Direct real estate private equity financing mainly from other countries, such as Germany. Nevertheless, the Chinese provided by the U.S. government had received from the U.S. taxpayers funds to help the United States to a higher standard of living.
To this history, today accused the Chinese currency policy is a bit dirty. China's exchange rate policy of the Americans in such a long period of time, to enjoy living beyond their income. United States often underestimate the value of the yuan, said damage to the U.S. interests, in fact, is the value of the yuan undervalued, so that Americans can do a whole room of the American Dream. Cheap imports from China, the United States to free up capital and manpower, to a massive increase in the number of properties, which dramatically improves the standard of living of Americans.
Today, Chinese people do not want to continue to invest in the United States, which is understandable. They tried to buy Unocal, to enter the U.S. energy market, but the U.S. politicians to stop this merger initiatives. Congress also has the pretext of national security, preventing the rest of China's direct investment.
One need only recall the fiber optic company Emcore and gold mining company's bid Firstgold case to understand. U.S. wants the Chinese capital, but only willing to offer no protection of structured credit securities, and now there is danger of inflation and devaluation of government bonds.
If the United States to stop frequently to China to do despicable moral blame, it will benefit world peace. Political interests than the naked fact more subtle.
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