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The following article was published in our article directory on October 26, 2010.
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Article Category: Business
Author Name: xia zihui
The current China-US mutual accusations, create barriers to trade with each other, each passing the buck, in fact intensified the practice of paradox. Correct approach should be preferred to further cooperation and division of labor, even in the new economy, but also not to take unilateral, only cooperation has been found. That being the case, Sino-US cooperation and division of labor further choice is irreversible in the paradox of rational option under the circumstances, cooperation and deepen cooperation in order to solve the problem only, not stagnation, retrogression, as long as the deepening of cooperation is actually the best win-win situation, is 1 +1 "2. However, not all people are so wise.
If the yuan again after 90 as the 20th century, as the yen fell against the U.S. dollar is not necessarily best interests. The Paradox of the single currency is not brought to the people's will, even after the fall of the renminbi, but also stand up a new currency, which is bound to create the opposite paradox.
While the yuan had left on the international stage too naive some of Wall Street dollars wily, but, tricks, ignoring the objective law of paradox, in the end if the yuan collapse, the dollar crisis will be deeper into paradox. China should let the U.S. government to China 2 trillion U.S. dollars of foreign exchange reserves to buy devalued insurance, such as requirements linked to the inflation rate. This is consistent with WTO principles, tooth for a tooth.
First, the high stability of the currency the dollar. If the United States continue to raise the manipulation of its currency, then the only anti-manipulation of the United States dollar-denominated assets in China. In 2009, the United States has one of the quantitative easing, and now ready to quantitative easing, and fiscal deficits increased rather than decreased. This forced China's U.S. dollar assets are impaired.
If the United States is willing to guarantee the depreciation of these assets, and is in accordance with the depreciation of the dollar or inflation rate, then that is appropriate and in good faith, otherwise, should be counted as a deadbeat, can crusade against the Chinese since. In addition, the NPC in the absence of government authorization, can not unilaterally give up the game. In the confrontation, rude and do not give in if the United States, may correspond to the yuan does not appreciate, but depreciation.
Second, the doctrine against the United States with a market easing monetary policy. After the expansion of the floating range of RMB, the yuan more market-oriented, market problem or allow the market to answer questions or depreciate the renminbi and the yuan to U.S. dollar transactions in the market correction. This is what the market has been asking the United States doctrine. However, the prerequisite for China to set the lock loose U.S. monetary policy to ensure competition in the same baseline.
Third, the implicit lack of competitiveness of U.S. exports to China. U.S. restrictions on Chinese high-tech, investment restrictions on resources, in addition to these two, the U.S. what China really needs is missing. Lack of competitiveness of U.S. exports to China.
Fourth, RMB appreciation to cooperate with China. The two sides cooperate in good faith, the United States must abandon the Cold War mentality in the political, economic energy and raw materials for the model to take OPEC model or the European Coal and Steel, the former largest consumer market share to less than 20% of the pricing. Otherwise, top to bottom, left and right, the pricing of intermediate products will continue to be distorted, the U.S. dollar and the renminbi issue is the distorted reflection at the most. Only a single integrated market, it may eliminate the distortion of the unilateral monopoly of supply and demand, and thus the currency from the market perspective distortion correction.
In addition, China also managed to ask the United States to eliminate the United States, "Agriculture" to form long-term advantage of the security threat. For Wal-Mart model + model + high-tech export restrictions agriculture safety problems, it raised the asset prices in the United States, the factor prices in China down, create employment for U.S. pressure on China intensified for the separation of binary society.
Only in such an environment, the relationship between the RMB and the U.S. dollar will resume normal interaction, will be a win-win is the best way to face the paradox of dollars.
As long as such cooperation, the wealth that the United States and China will gradually hang hook to domestic wealth, not as it is now a high, a low distortion of the two parts will be correct, to the relatively balanced, if for the Silk Street and Wall Street representatives, as much as possible to eliminate the difference between the two is too large, divergence.
Both sides must cooperate in good faith the premise of logic is that paradox is one dollar rise in China, period, which is produced by the rising dollar initiative of; second is the declining dollar deficit into a certain degree of crisis is inevitable; three also see that China is by no means the short-term earnings trend, will continue for a long time, do not rule out a dollar is in the next based on the birth of this; four who is not wishful thinking on the paradox can be resolved.
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