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The following article was published in our article directory on October 26, 2010.
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Europe's Economy is Caught in Japan Mode

Article Category: Business

Author Name: xia zihui

At the same time on the same page in two newspapers of news caught my eye. The first is the former Hong Kong Monetary Authority Chief Executive Joseph Yam said that the current chaotic conditions in global financial markets can be described as once in a century, too large quantitative easing policy might set off a new bubble, and he urged Hong Kong people do care in the investment. Words appear only to people, in fact, in the economic globalization today, when can be seen as ordinary people for every one of us; the other message is "The Wall Street Journal" survey, said the investment bank, hedge funds and fund management companies, including stock exchanges, including 35 Wall Street firms, the best performance this year will be 144 billion U.S. dollars paid to staff salaries and benefits, in 2009, the historical high of 139 billion U.S. dollars on the re-growth of 4%.

On Wall Street, moral standards (during migration) can not survive, Wall Street is the place to eat your money, but also sounding plundered wealth.

Some people might think this would too serious, but that is the case.

Although the United States intends to propose another round of measures to revive the economy, but more and more economists fear, Europe and the United States may fall into Japanification, long-term economic growth that is slow or even fall into the plight of deflation.

Currently, some economists believe that the U.S. and Western Europe and other countries are trying from the huge debt and the recovery of the real estate bubble, they can avoid the United States have confidence in the stagnation of the Japanese model, mainly because the American political system response capacity, and the Americans tolerate the creative destruction of capitalism (Creative destruction) of capacity. Japan's long-term deflation, the Japanese government at first reluctant to admit the seriousness of the problem, and vigorously into public works projects to create jobs and delay a painful but necessary structural changes.

But in fact, U.S. house prices still "stumble" endlessly, and in the next few decades, the North American real estate boom over the past 10 years is difficult to occur again; European and American unemployment rate is still high, and difficult to decline. From the consumer refused to consumption, reduced business investment, lending to the bank and so do not abandon the cash point of view, into a vicious cycle of deflation has become a trend. United States, Britain, Spain and Ireland are experiencing the lessons of Japan 10 years ago, heavily indebted individuals and businesses, they have cash to debt, rather than consumption and investment. U.S. and European economies through the crisis, in the future for a long period of time can only increase slowly, into a "Japanese technology."

Joseph Yam mentioned, "Now the situation is that I have never seen before. I believe the U.S. is producing a large bubble to cover the foam generated by the previous problem." I totally agree. The United States and around the world of low interest rates or zero interest rates, it is a larger economic crisis under the scourge.

In fact, in the absence of economic growth based on the global financial markets, it can only be zero-sum game. These days, although the economy remains sluggish, the market is very strange to rise, but Wall Street is even more huge profits. In the zero-sum game, that some people make, some people burned. Under normal circumstances, the common people (retail) is not Wall Street rivals; strange anomaly in the current economic situation, the investment is even more to be cautious, preferring to be hardly worth the effort the principal amount of the existence of guaranteed low-interest financial products, the raid than is financial waves from eating 30%, 40% much better.

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