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The following article was published in our article directory on October 19, 2010.
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European Economic Recovery Will be Weaker

Article Category: Business

Author Name: xia zihui

European economy by the financial crisis hit. From 2008-2010, Europe has experienced a banking crisis in Western Europe, Eastern Europe, emerging-market financial crisis and the euro-zone members of the sovereign debt crisis. Compared to the U.S. and Japan the two major economies, the European economy into a crisis longer and deeper recession, the recovery efforts weaker. The next 5 years, the European economy may be repeated fluctuations, but relatively weak expansion efforts.

Overall, the European economy more than 30 years since World War II "golden development period" after the high maturity, development and construction of infrastructure and resources, the basic sound, the lack of new investment highlights; Europe in the aging process, power consumption inadequate. European high-welfare social system, rigid labor market and lack of technological innovation leading to limit the productivity and competitiveness improvement.

European industry and regional development structure defects. European financial industry is highly developed, even on the global export of capital in the U.S. financial industry. Some Western European countries is more serious than in the U.S. real estate bubble, high dependence on exports of some euro-zone countries, some Eastern European countries are heavily dependent on foreign investment and a single energy industry, some southern European countries are mainly based on tourism and culture industries. Therefore, the overall European economy is weak anti-risk ability, in this severe financial crisis hit, get out of the crisis the most difficult.

European economic integration, the challenges of defects. EU and euro area is a major achievement of economic integration in Europe, but its flaws can not withstand a major natural test of the financial crisis. The development of the widening differences between euro-zone members, both in Germany such a large current account surpluses and large capital-exporting countries, but also Spain, such high deficits, high consumption countries; both countries with low inflation, but also the inflation rate countries, limiting the flexibility of the ECB monetary policy. At the same time, the European decentralized fiscal sovereignty, resulting in policy coordination and policy constraints difficult, made in a crisis policy response lags behind the policy effects are greatly reduced, especially in some Member States significantly beyond the discipline of the fiscal deficit.

Sustained economic recovery in Europe's risky. Europe has a lot of "too big to fail", "big to be saved," the sovereign state and financial institutions face in the future when more of the financial shocks of the economic recovery will be a major challenge, especially in the banking crisis, sovereign debt crisis and the crisis has not yet seen the euro radical program to further the fight against international investors confidence in the economic development of Europe, the European economy may face the risk of multiple bottom, the next 5 years the overall intensity of weaker economic growth.

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