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The following article was published in our article directory on October 18, 2010.
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Article Category: Business Management
Author Name: Amanda xzh
U.S. Treasury secretary, the Singapore central bank may help in virtually a favor. He is committed to promoting the exchange rate to reach an agreement in Asia, the aim is to promote other Asian countries allow their currencies to appreciate, and thus promote the Beijing allow the yuan to "follow the appreciation." Before economist at the University of Wisconsin have shown: won, Thai baht and Singapore dollar and the RMB there are some associated trend.
Singapore's central bank abruptly tightened monetary policy affected by this policy, the Singapore dollar rose sharply against the dollar. The central bank said it would slightly improve Singapore currency trading band against a basket of the slope, the mid-point range unchanged, the exchange rate policy will also expand the range slightly. The above actions indicate that capital flows to Asia have led to increased inflationary pressures in Singapore, the government had to step up to curb inflation through monetary policy trends.
And for China, the focus is not so can not allow the yuan to appreciate further, but to determine the external inflation pressure has been to what extent and how early response. Singapore's central bank shot on the same day, according to "China Securities News" reported that China National Development and Reform Commission, the Secretary-General Wang is expected to learn during the macro-economic growth could reach 5% of the RMB. RMB appreciation, depreciation of the dollar that accelerated the influx of hot money, leading to excess liquidity. Wang believes that interest rates difficult to contain inflation, but he did not rule out the deposit reserve ratio to increase the possibilities. This is an important message.
Not long before, China's central bank has temporarily raised the six bank deposit reserve ratio, return of funds. This is the first time since the central bank since May raised bank deposit reserve ratio, is the fourth time this year. At that time, China's central bank decided to six commercial banks raised the deposit reserve ratio by 50 basis points, to 17.5%, for two months. These banks include the four state-owned banks and two medium-sized banks, namely ICBC, China Construction Bank, Bank of China, Agricultural Bank of China, China Merchants Bank and Minsheng Bank.
Last raised the deposit reserve ratio, it seems that the Chinese central bank intends to punish those who in September to lend too big commercial banks, trying to ensure the realization of Beijing to set goals for this year's new RMB loans (7.5 trillion yuan.) Calyon in a research note after the most recent increase, the Chinese major commercial banks deposit reserve ratio will revert to pre-crisis levels. In addition to raising the deposit reserve ratio, as the appropriate measures to tighten liquidity, regulators in Beijing has strictly controlled the bank credit. Recently, with the real estate market regulation, the central government has asked commercial banks to suspend all over the residents of the third set and more families to purchase housing loans, raising the down payment ratio.
In fact, raising the deposit reserve ratio is to prevent further rise in inflation the basic quantitative tools, is an alternative to raising interest rates. If domestic inflation is indeed brought about by rising commodity prices, imported inflation, interest rates alone is not a good way. It now appears that China's central bank will continue to use the deposit reserve ratio to control inflation as the main monetary policy tool. Last week, China's central bank governor Zhou Xiaochuan, held in Washington, DC IMF (International Monetary Fund) annual conference that is still not enough evidence, including the deposit reserve ratio and open market operations is difficult to complete, including the central control of quantitative tools inflation expectations of the target. Obviously, he suggested the current tool also works without the need to adopt new means.
No matter what tool, the only concern is the public, the bank deposits will not be more erosion? One-year benchmark deposit rate was only 2.25%, China August CPI (consumer price index) has increased by 3.5%. Short-term reality of the case, how the medium-term trend? Believed to include China's central bank, including, government, market and investors are watching closely. However, concern owned concern, the action should not hesitate - just like Singapore's central bank.
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