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The following article was published in our article directory on October 8, 2010.
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Global May Start a New Round of Quantitative Easing Policy

Article Category: World Affairs

Author Name: xia zihui

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President Bullard has said he persuaded the Fed to purchase securities of other senior officials to consider policy has made some progress. This shows that the Fed is considering the introduction of more flexible policies to stimulate the purchase of government bonds the country's economy; the Bank of Japan, has recently held an emergency meeting to discuss whether to expand the size of low-interest credit to 50 trillion yen. In addition, the Bank of England and European Central Bank also said that in the short term will not exit the loose monetary policy, the Bank of England even consider further expanding the scale of quantitative easing.

Federal Reserve (FED) officials are considering to re-purchase of long-term U.S. government bonds can be taken to the new strategy. Fed to buy U.S. treasury bonds in order to boost the disappointingly slow economic recovery.

The Fed had announced in March 2009 before a specified time limit large-scale purchases of U.S. treasury bonds, so that the U.S. financial system "back to life"; but Fed officials are now considering a more flexible term, smaller purchase strategy for gradually as the economy adjust the pace of recovery buying.

Most economists believe the Fed will keep its benchmark interest rate to near zero level after the quantitative easing policy can help prevent further recession. A few months ago the Fed was still considering how to cut investment portfolio, so if it decided to implement its policy of quantitative easing would be an unprecedented sense of the decision. Then the Fed will likely push down long-term interest rates again, and face if the economy rebounded after the credibility of the financial markets there is the potential risk. Close to the current market for a new round of Fed policy of quantitative easing, rising expectations, and Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke's speech today said U.S. economic growth failed to show sufficient energy to control the high rate of unemployment, it is the quantitative easing the possibility of the policy up to an unprecedented height. Goldman Sachs expects the Fed will eventually decide to purchase at least 1 trillion in U.S. treasury bonds, and estimated long-term interest rates will decrease again by 25 basis points.

But St. Louis Fed President Bullard said, "large-scale purchase of government bonds," the practice is not the best monetary policy, he believed that special circumstances such as non-real experience, should not take this approach, but "if not the real experience special circumstances, (the Fed) will not take this approach. "analysts believe the Fed is currently a tendency to purchase within the strategy is to first declare a period of time to buy a small scale of U.S. Treasury bonds, but whether it really depends on further purchase state of the economy - if the accelerated economic growth, Fed officials or that do not need to take any action. This strategy will allow the Federal Reserve in the face of the uncertainty of economic recovery, in the further issue to stimulate economic recovery have more room for maneuver.

Bank of England and European Central Bank also said that in the short term will not exit the loose monetary policy.

28 Office for National Statistics said the second quarter, UK gross domestic product (GDP) growth of 1.2% qoq, record the fastest growth rate of 9 years. Nevertheless, economists are still worried, because most of Britain austerity measures implemented in 2011, fear of the future of the country's economic growth unsustainable. Therefore, the Bank of England is likely to further expand the quantitative easing policy. In addition, the Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee meeting in September shows that most members considered that the introduction of the line should be further monetary stimulus. Posen said that members of the Committee, to ensure steady economic growth, the Bank should expand the quantitative easing program, acquire more assets. Posen said: "The central bank should not be worried about inflation to be satisfied with weak economic growth."

On the same day, the European Central Bank released the latest report, in August, the euro area households and businesses received loans increased by 1.2 percentage points per annum, the highest the fastest pace in 14 months; used to measure the level of inflation data - M3 money supply also increased by 1.1 percentage points per annum. The bank executive board member Stark said the data showed the euro zone has been set foot on the road of credit growth, the ECB is gradually withdraw from unconventional monetary stimulus. However, the Bank president Jean-Claude Trichet reiterated the economic outlook for Europe's caution, he said the ECB now adopt a more accommodative monetary policy is "appropriate", and the euro area will slow the pace of economic recovery, but still full of uncertainty.

Bank of Japan recently held to discuss whether to take further easing in response to the country's economy stronger yen negative impact. Sources said the bank may further expand the scale of low-interest credit to 50 trillion yen. Bank of Japan had held an emergency meeting on interest rates by the end of August, and announced to maintain 20 trillion yen in the 3-month fixed interest rate of 0.1% based on the size of loans, an increase of 10 trillion yen of new 6-month fixed-rate loan tools in response to a stronger yen impact on the country's economic recovery. In addition, the Japanese government introduced a scale of 915 billion yen in the new economic stimulus.

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