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The following article was published in our article directory on September 29, 2010.
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Latin American Economies Overall Out of the Woods

Article Category: Business

Author Name: xia zihui

United Nations Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean released a report recently predicted that economic growth in Latin America in 2010 is expected to reach 5.2%, thus completely out of the 2009 GDP contraction of 1.9% low. Among them, the world's eighth largest economy, Brazil's growth rate of Latin American economic engine will be as high as 7.6%, followed by Uruguay and Paraguay, 7%, followed by 6.8% in Argentina, Peru 6.7%. However, in most countries have different degrees of economic growth, while Venezuela may be a negative growth of 3%.

From specific economic level, the overall unemployment rate in Latin America from 8.2% in 2009 down to around the end of 2010 to 7.8%, per capita GDP will rise 3.7%. Resources in the world, driven by demand growth, Latin American exports in 2010 fell sharply in 2009, the foundation will surge 22.6% 21.4%; imports will also be an anti-fall 2009 24.9% decline, surged 17.1%. Growth rate of exports was higher than import growth, will lead the Latin American trade surplus in 2010 reached 46 billion U.S. dollars. Foreign direct investment in 2010 increased by 13%, 15% drop in 2009 in sharp contrast, most of them in Brazil, Chile, Argentina and Colombia, the resource sector investment.

In the Latin American economy out of recession, high tide, was undoubtedly the most prominent of Brazil, the biggest highlight of the Brazilian economy is job creation capacity. Brazilian Labor Department's latest statistics show that from January to August this year, Brazil added 1.95 million jobs, even more than before the international financial crisis in 2008 to 180 million, which in August added nearly 300,000 jobs , the highest monthly increase in employment record.

Latin American economy has rebounded strongly in 2010, mainly due to four reasons:

First, most Latin American countries, government policies, timely and reasonable. In fact, before the international financial crisis, Latin American countries have learned the last regional financial crisis and the lessons of the Asian financial crisis, the use of rapid economic development in the world by 2008, the favorable situation, with the region is rich in resources and other advantages, take a variety of financial , monetary policy, significantly reducing the country's debt burden and improve the government's fiscal position. After the arrival of the international financial crisis, Latin American governments have also begun to take timely and accurate economic stimulus plan, effectively alleviate the devastating economic crisis period.

Second, the government and private financial institutions was loose monetary policy and credit scale, effectively stimulate employment. Especially Brazil, but also by the 2014 World Cup and 2016 Olympic Games of the machine, enhancing economic vitality, create jobs quickly.

Third, in the loose monetary policy, tax cuts and employment, driven by rapid growth, regional growth and strong domestic consumption, effectively led to accelerated economic growth.

Fourth, export growth accelerated growth of GDP has made a significant contribution. Since the global economy started to recover since the market has become increasingly active in international resources, prices continued to rise. Natural resource-rich Latin American countries benefit, resource export growth as rapid economic recovery, a major driving force.

From the Latin American economic development trend, GDP growth in 2010 will show a trend of high to low. In the first half of the rapid growth in the European sovereign debt crisis and the weak U.S. economy, the negative impact of recovery, the second half will be significantly slowed down the pace. From the export perspective, Latin American exports to Europe accounted for 13.9% of total exports, exports to the U.S. is as high as 40.7%. Brazil's exports to the U.S. which accounted for 14% of total exports, exports to Europe of 23.5%. In addition, foreign remittances on Latin American economy, especially the least developed countries, significant economic impact. Jamaica, remittances from abroad, such as its GDP up 13.8%, 54.5% from the United States, 21.2% from Europe. From this, the pace of economic recovery by the United States and Europe slow down the impact of the second half of Latin American economic growth will fall to around 4%, may decline further in 2011 to 3.8%.

Judging from the recent and long-term perspective, the Latin American economy will face three major challenges. The first is the change in active force of economic recovery. So far, Latin America's rapid economic growth mainly due to macro-control policies of Governments and the economic stimulus plan. With the continuous withdrawal of such policies, the private economy can play in time to re-sustained economic recovery in Latin America since the active force, would be Latin America's economic growth and long-term key to the healthy. Second, the threat of inflation will become increasingly serious. How to ensure sustained economic growth, the inflation control in the normal range, will be the Latin American governments increasingly face another big challenge. Finally, the export economy of most countries in Latin America occupies a very important position. For some time, countries have to take short-term measures to alleviate the upward pressure on their currencies. However, with the pressure of the world's major currencies rising Latin American countries how to adjust the exchange rate policy, is bound to directly affect the country's foreign trade strategy, and thus on economic growth causing non-negligible impact.

In summary, the first half of 2010, strong economic recovery in Latin America. However, the slowdown in world economic recovery, especially in the case of lower economic growth in the U.S. and Europe, the second half of the Latin American economic recovery will also be significantly reduced next year's growth rate may decline further. During this period, the Latin American economy will continue to face the challenges of recovery, and successfully address these challenges, related to the Latin American economy can long-term sustainable and healthy development.

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