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The following article was published in our article directory on September 29, 2010.
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Article Category: Business Management
Author Name: xia zihui
Since the financial community basically agreed to the current financial crisis is a "once", then the market for this rare extreme conditions, if not profound summary and reflection, correction and improvement, then we may still be to simply gone through a crisis, rather than from the experience of this crisis for the economy to enhance the understanding of the financial system and, thus, can be said to pass the financial crisis with hundred years.
Reflect on the financial crisis, with its hollow, irrelevant to the discussion ambitious proposition, as from a number of specific financial products, a specific financial institution, a specific operating system cut into the financial markets may be more empathy. From a Financial Crisis, Bear Stearns Cos. Is undoubtedly one of the most analytical value of the case.
About Bear Stearns, China's securities industry may be feeling at this time the crisis is most close to one Wall Street investment banks, as a Chinese investment bank Bear Stearns said would almost buy it before the shambles, and is said to be due to lengthy and excessively bureaucratic approval process, which makes its acquisition of a signed contract will almost missed. In this case, approval to save the Chinese investment bank to become an industry joke.
Read "The Rise and Fall of Bear Stearns", they also see Buffett and the investment community celebrities promote financial sector. Since the outbreak of the financial crisis, the financial investment community bigwigs seem extraordinary hard work, not only hard to find suitable investment opportunities, determine the trend of economic and financial policies, but also read a lot of books and literature, the reason for leaving the impression because of the recent reading, was invited as a translated work order or organization does not seem to Buffett recommended that Soros praise. Buffett said: "I read the book in one breath, and benefit. Of great interest to introduce objective and many on Wall Street, investment and knowledge of human nature!" As Buffett says, and if to understand that "on Wall Street, investment and human common sense", this book is worth reading the opinion.
Looking back the Evolution of the financial crisis, Bear Stearns - The Wall Street known as the most profitable in recent years, has a 85-year history of the "store", on March 16, 2008 was forced to accept JP Morgan Chase ultra-low-cost acquisitions to avoid becoming the liquidation outcome. A veteran Wall Street investment banks to decline from its peak, the stock fell to two dollars from 30 dollars, only bad luck will come within 72 hours of the. Bear Stearns became the global financial crisis, the first major victim.
Bear Stearns name "Bear" word in English as "reckless" means, as has the nation's fifth-largest investment bank, Bear Stearns, known for tough trading style and is known to take risks. It is radical mortgage business, settlement services, debt service, corresponding to high-end customers the industry's investment consulting business Zeng appreciated even some envy. However, when the risk is coming, highly leveraged Bear Stearns investment business model and narrow market position also accelerated the destruction of the enterprise. The "Bear" in financial terms but also "short" the meaning of dying of Bear Stearns by reviewing the 72-hour journey through life, we clearly see the panic selling was a death sentence for a step by step how the global financial markets only once unscrupulous "Wall Street Lone Wolf."
Bear Stearns, rigidly literal translation is "reckless short selling" is really a prophecy. Until March 2008, the reckless financing for highly leveraged Bear Stearns to achieve an average annual profit margin of about 33% and 20% return on equity. Thanks to the technical design of extremely complex financial structure of the derivatives. Financial risk of the loans innovative tools can pack up and sold as an asset. Once the overall credit starts to contract, asset prices diving native, these "toxic" waste of derivatives will be the same as the nuclear accident, pollution, the entire financial system's balance sheet, even the original looks healthy business will panic selling by the market mobility of the devastating blow dry.
The so-called no new thing under the sun, look at the history of the financial crisis, Bear Stearns is not the tragedy there seems to something new, but the return of history. Salomon Brothers before, Barings Bank, Long Term Capital Management, including the current Bear Stearns, Lehman Brothers after, when the tide goes out do not have a "naked swimmer" do?
Bear Stearns, "came crashing down," is its own kind of long-term high-risk business due under, or the waves of market sentiment and the huge amount of speculative short selling transactions, the increasing globalization of financial markets, the homogenization of the fruit it formed ? Or both. Thomas Friedman said: "The world is flat." Developed information technology has the global financial markets and various financial institutions closely linked together. A global financial institution has a rash, or financial statements of the transaction, which might be made possible outside speculation and interpretation. A high degree of convergence of rapid information dissemination and interpretation, along with speculative chase sell and herding, then plunged into the capital market turmoil implacable. Result as the U.S. economics professor Kenneth Rogoff of Harvard University described as: "We either end of the era in a fire, or caught in an ice era." Here, Kenneth Rogoff refers to the crown of the United States poet Robert Frost's famous poem which describes the current dilemma, where "fire" refers to the financial meltdown, "ice" refers to inflation, slowing economic growth, it must be tough in this trade-off between the two and choice.
Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan's regulatory philosophy advocated that the diversification of financial products, market participants bet would be more rational, to better reflect the collective wisdom of the participants, and thus a more balanced response to shocks stronger. This view indirectly led to the excessive leverage of financial institutions accumulate positions. The global financial crisis has seen the accumulation of this highly leveraged business itself is a huge risk. Model of the design phase is the source of the failure of certain key factors are discarded, and the results of these factors will have a significant impact. As the Department of the Wharton School of Management Professor Sidney G. Winter, models are often discarded in general is difficult to quantify the variable factors, such as changes in human psychology as well as expectations about the future, which is exactly in the asset transaction process is extremely the nature of the content.
The development of modern financial history from the perspective, a series of thrilling modern financial market history to repeat in the same narrow street, prosperity and bust cycle, carnival and periodic pains ups and downs of financial institutions are constantly warned the financial sector: It is now not able to find a way to solve the problem, even the crux of the problem and the key there are differences. In this fog, the financial market to go on, the history of the financial crisis will likely be repeated.
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