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The following article was published in our article directory on September 10, 2010.
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Multi-country Economic Situation Complex

Article Category: World Affairs

Author Name: xia zihui

Fed Beige Book showed the economy, the U.S. economy showed "widespread slowdown phenomenon." While tracking the 12 Federal Reserve districts report shows the U.S. economy is still growing, but compared with the previous, the slowdown in the economy generally emerge. At the same time, U.S. consumer credit fell 1.8% in July, showed U.S. consumer confidence in the economic recovery.

However, as the European debt crisis, many countries face poor euro zone economic data, "bombing", the market reaction finally "numb", the United States market downturn on prospects for the argument and the poor performance of the data used to . Day of the Fed Beige Book economic pessimistic views of the New York foreign exchange market U.S. dollar against other major currencies, static, international oil prices rebounded slightly, the three major New York stock market index more "Adversity" all rebound.

"The U.S. economic recovery is weak has become conclusive, the market in the preceding period of economic data De Shi Jian right absorbing, already weak economic recovery in the United States produces more Mingque's psychological expectations, Yinci next U.S. economic data on the market, the effects will gradually weak. Market emotional frame of reference will be changed. "Analysis of the economists said.

From the recent days of market reaction, the euro zone sovereign debt crises seem to have been "affect" market sentiment. "Wall Street Journal" recently a survey in the euro zone banks stress test exists omissions, underestimated the risk of government bonds held by banks. However, the local time on September 8, Portugal's success in the bond market is timely, "comfort" the market sentiment.

At present, Ireland has become the financial system affect the most sensitive nerve in the market. Yesterday, the Irish government said it would split its several large banks in the weakest one, to prevent depositor runs. However, the economist said: "and after Greece, Portugal and other countries, like the banking industry, the Irish banking sector problems and not enough to detonate the European debt crisis."

"Despite the bad news 'flying', but the basic are already priced into the market over the old news." The economist said, "As long as no new news worsened, followed by a period of time, the market will only Under the influence of various economic data often fluctuate up and down the narrow range. "

Maintaining a relaxed tone

As to stimulate the global economy is difficult to find a new point, the market is difficult to find new sources to show the truth. This is "doomed" Governments in the formulation of monetary policy can not easily be frivolous.

9 September, the Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee announced that to maintain the benchmark rate unchanged at 0.5% of the records, while maintaining the 200 billion pounds the same scale quantitative easing, the policy fully in line with expectations. Were the same as expected the Bank of Canada, announced the day after the central bank raised benchmark interest rates again by 25 basis points. However, for the next move, the Bank of Canada said: "Given the economic outlook is unusually uncertain, if the interest rate must be considered again."

Yesterday, Bank of Korea is expected to continue beyond the market continued to stagnate after August the pace of rate hikes. From now, after raising interest rates once the process started in Brazil, Indonesia and other countries of central bank interest rates in the last meeting, both have stopped the pace of rate hikes.

The Economist pointed out: "In emerging economies, rapid economic development will accompany a high-inflation, which central banks start raising interest rates also on the basis of inflation control and prevention. However, due to emerging economies external dependence high uncertainty in the external economic environment a greater impact on these countries. "

The economists then expected: "From the beginning to the current second quarter of 2011 so far, does not appear significant and unexpected as long as the Jingjishijian, and Ge emerging Guo Jia's inflation rate exceeded Yu Bu Guofen control Mubiao, including China, Xin Xing economy continues to adhere to the loose monetary policy remains unchanged. Europe and the United States will be the case, or further relaxation of quantitative easing. "

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