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The following article was published in our article directory on September 6, 2010.
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Africa is the Risk-takers Next Paradise

Article Category: World Affairs

Author Name: xia zihui

With the Korean stock market approaching the highest level since the financial crisis, Turkey, and Indonesia's stock market to record highs ahead, many began to worry that the pursuit of high returns in emerging markets is the golden age of the earth will soon be past. At the same time, suffering from "bear the pain" of European and American investors who have been marginalized and suddenly found the forefront of the market is their true analgesic.

Frontier markets Chengxin Chong

According to MSCIFrontierMarketIndex, frontier markets are coming from Africa, Eastern Europe and Western Asia 26 markets, including Kuwait, Nigeria and Bangladesh and other countries. Compared with emerging markets, the total market value of these markets are small and illiquid, but this year the rate of return higher than that level of economic development, eclipsing the market.

As of Aug. 31, MSCI Frontier Markets Index has risen nearly three months to 2.78%, compared to, MSCI Emerging Markets Index dropped 1.95% over the same period S & P 500 index fell 5.93%, MSCI developed market index fell of 9.81%.

"Frontier market performance may be higher than in emerging market countries, or" BRIC "better." Emerging Market Management Company chairman AntoinevanAgtmael was first proposed in 1981, "emerging markets" concept, but he has recently given said: "We are about to enter a small market, the era of big airs, these markets have not been overly concerned about, but it has huge development potential, and very tempting stock market."

Frontier market countries this year, good performance, is considered because of its undervalued stock market has been in a state. According to the income of listed companies is expected in 2010, cutting-edge market is about 10 times price-earning ratio, price-earnings ratio in emerging market countries are at about 16 times.

"In emerging markets experienced a bull market in 2009 after a number of frontier market funds began to flow. Laikan rally from frontier markets, the impact of capital inflow is still not great." RBC chief of the company's emerging markets Teacher NickChamie think so.

Nuggets Africa

In the MSCI Frontier Markets Index Index of all components to MSCI index's gains in Africa the most violent year since the index rose close to 30%. Sub-Saharan Africa was also seen as risk-takers last paradise.

"Africa has always been a misunderstanding," the first advocate to join the African market MilesMorland said: "This was full of corruption, regime change and lack of infrastructure in the vast region now has become the fastest growing economic areas. Where banks do not require government assistance, no financial scandals, there are only businessmen who are considering the use of capital appreciation in the capital market. "

Since 2008, following the global stock market stumbled, the African market, cheap, and not been concerned about the high quality of the company everywhere.

In the past, political instability in Africa's development has been restricted, but since 2000, China's massive investment to make the African economy has experienced 10 years of golden growth period. Owns 10% of global oil reserves in Africa, the future is expected to maintain high economic growth, which will also bring support for the capital market.

According to the report of the IMF, Africa's GDP growth this year will reach 5% to 8%, at the same time, consumption growth will be staggering. The continent has a population of 900 million, although many people are still very poor, their income has increased rapidly.

Investors find the energy, banking, beer manufacturers, supermarket chains and mobile communications is the most promising industries. These industries not only did not competitors, but also a nice financial statements, as well as low price-earnings ratio.

As Africa's largest oil producer, Nigeria has been regarded as the engine driving economic development in Africa, some people than for "Africa's Brazil."

In recent years, the country's former president Oamaru Yar'Adua year round by the pain and suffering, political turmoil has increased the risk of its investment in capital markets. Currently, Nigeria's price-earnings ratio of only 9 times, the total market value of less than 2007 peak of 1 / 3.

The situation in May of this year has improved after the death of Yar'Adua. It is predicted that Nigeria's GDP growth this year expected to reach 6.5%, and the stock market will experience the process of appreciation.

Accessor frontier market fund's co-manager PaulHerber said: "Productivity in the younger and consumer A rising economy of Nigeria's economy quickly formed Le virtuous cycle of infrastructure Ye followed Jiakuai, legal Faguitiji Yekuaidedao sound. Yuji This process will last 15 to 20 years. "

Herbert currently holds the largest market capitalization stock market in Nigeria Nigeria bank. Currently, Nigeria's policy makers are dealing with an unprecedented intensity of bad bank mortgages, although the line will be short-term negative impact on earnings, but good in the long-term development. Nigerian banks are expected to rapidly expand the size of loans, which will further promote economic growth.

Morgan Stanley Frontier Markets Fund managers TimothyDrinkall also pointed out that the relationship between Africa and the closeness of the global economy than other developing countries, local companies closely dependent on the local economy. They are basically similar to the euro and economic events such as insulation, this will be difficult to grasp the direction of the market.

Therefore, some investors have suggested, find a business in Africa but in the mature markets of the company, which will provide investors with a layer of protection. Some in the New York Stock Exchange's index funds are an ideal tool for investing in Africa.

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