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The following article was published in our article directory on August 26, 2010.
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Appreciation of the Yen to Stimulate New Economic Plan

Article Category: Business Management

Author Name: xia zihui

Scheduled for August 23 at the Bank of Japan's Prime Minister, Naoto Kan and Fang Ming-line Shirakawa meeting was large "discount", into a 15-minute telephone conference, the market is quite disappointing. After the talks, Japan's Chief Cabinet Secretary Paradise Valley by the person said, Naoto Kan Ming Shirakawa not to make any monetary policy. Subsequently, the Japanese Finance Minister wild Tianjia Yan said that he will be subject to the instructions of Naoto Kan, keep close attention on the financial markets.

Affected by this, the Tokyo stock market Nikkei 225 index closed down 0.68% from 23 to 9116.69 points, for the 9 months to the lowest closing level. On the same day, the Asian currency markets, the yen rose against the dollar and the euro, as of 19:15 GMT, the dollar exchange rate against the yen 85.23 yen reported, less than the previous day's closing price of 85.53 yen in New York trading.

To help enterprises cope with the yen continued to rise on the Japanese Economy and Industry is expected to seek 100 billion yen for the Japanese company subsidies. Adjustment of the ruling Democratic Policy Association, Genba Koichiro said the government planned new economic stimulus package size when necessary may be more than currently planned 1.7 trillion yen, he suggested the possibility of bond financing is not completely ruled out.

Yen "is interference" less likely

Paradise Valley 23, said by the people, Japanese Prime Minister Naoto Kan and central line Shirakawa Fang Ming telephone exchange in the morning, on the recent exchange of views on the financial market dynamics, involving the yen and other currencies fluctuations. In addition, both also on the views of the United States and Europe to exchange views on the economy. But Sengoku emphasized that, in continuous 15-minute telephone conversation, the two sides did not talk about whether to intervene in the foreign exchange market.

The same day, the spokesman also said the Bank of Japan, Naoto Kan and Shirakawa, Fang Ming, "discussed the recent trend of foreign exchange market and the domestic economic situation, they agreed to maintain close communication."

Continued strength of the yen recently, the U.S. dollar against the yen exchange rate is in the Aug. 11 fell to 15-year low of 84.72 yen, which led to all of the concerns about Japan's prospects for economic recovery, while the Nikkei 225 index since May since has fallen more than 17%. In addition, Japan in the second quarter economic growth was only 0.4% annual rate, far below market expectations, further government intervention in currency markets to outside requests and implementation of a new round of economic stimulus plan is growing. However, according to people familiar with the central bank, said on the 20th, the Japanese central bank is still evaluating the economic impact of yen appreciation.

An asset management up to chief economist Kozo Koide told reporters China Securities Journal said in 2003 and 2004 the Japanese government intervention in currency markets from different backgrounds, the external environment in Japan is now the United States and the European Union fear of deflation. In addition, the G20 summit on the recent, member states have a message to the currency manipulation of the warning, the Japanese government released the latest foreign exchange Tebie account against including accounts system, including consolidation of the idea Shide market Ganyu less likely. He also believed that, the Japanese government still need to observe a period of time to decide whether to enter the market directly intervene in the yen exchange rate; if the government decided to directly intervene, subject to approval by the U.S. De Jijizhichi.

New stimulus package expected soon

METI is planning to introduce subsidies to small and medium manufacturing enterprises and loans to help enterprises cope with the yen continued to rise on the enterprise impact of exports and profits. After producing province, said the program will be able to maintain employment levels of society, and improving technical capacity and international competitiveness.

Japanese media predicted that METI will raise about 100 billion yen of funds, the scheme is Japan's trade minister and the Prime Minister directly Island is OK Naoto Kan on the 19th meeting finalized.

Analysts said the yen's continued appreciation for Japanese enterprises headache, compared with Japan's large enterprises through the transfer of overseas expansion and productivity to offset the negative impact of a stronger yen, Japan's SMEs were subjected to serious threats. Because Japan has not boosted domestic demand and sustained deflation is expected to encourage Japanese investors to hold cash rather than increase consumption.

Genba Koichiro 23, said the new form of economic stimulus funds mainly from the Japanese government plans to use the special budget for fiscal year 2010, the remaining approximately 900 billion yen, and the fiscal 2009 budget, 800 billion yen in additional funding. If the program size of more than 1.7 trillion yen, the government will likely have to issue bond financing. Earlier, Japanese media reported 18, Naoto Kan as early as early September the government plans new round of economic stimulus plans, and pressure on the bank, asking them to further relax monetary policy to boost the economy.

This Genba Koichiro said the Bank of Japan has acquired the tools including the expansion of the scope and accelerate the purchase of assets such as government bonds. However, Kozo Koide, pointed out that Japan's current situation is - the lack of availability of credit from the monetary base to the transmission mechanism, even if the Bank of Japan to expand the money supply, the effect may also be limited.

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