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The following article was published in our article directory on August 20, 2010.
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Article Category: Business
Author Name: xia zihui
Well-known rating agency Moody's Investors Service on Aug. 17 said the United States, Britain, Germany and France, with the AAA sovereign rating outlook is stable. However, the European countries to implement tight monetary policy will contain the pace of global economic recovery, leading to the country's sovereign credit rating is still the risk of being down, they "downgraded the distance from the closer some."
Face many challenges
Moody's released in 17 "AAA sovereign rating to track," said the quarterly report, the European debt crisis, because most countries introduced active measures to reduce the budget deficit, the United States, Britain, Germany and France, the four countries of the AAA sovereign credit rating outlook remains stable. Moody's also said the same since the introduction of fiscal austerity, and a few months ago, compared with the AAA rating of the main challenges facing the country has changed, the rating has increased the possibility of being cut. Moody's pointed out the challenges include: With the gradual withdrawal of the stimulus instruments, countries need to increase economic independence, to provide low-cost financing to greatly reduce spending on economic growth and fiscal restraint to minimize the negative impact.
Moody's vice president and senior credit officer Alexander Kekebeike said: "The AAA rating of the four countries are very solid, but the pressure on them to be slightly higher than in the past." Kekebeike that fiscal austerity policies on global economic growth speed pose a threat, increasing the possibility of these countries were downgraded.
To restore market confidence, Britain, France and the three best placed to reduce the deficit policy. Chancellor of the Exchequer George Osborne, 17, said the government plans to cut spending will not waver. Osborne said: "Britain has a reliable plan to reduce the record budget deficit, if we change the program will once again lead to market concerns." British government announced on June 22 budget in the next 5 years, 113 billion pounds savings .
Moody's believes that France is still capable of a reasonable cost to obtain sufficient financing from the market, strong export trade in Germany will continue to boost the country's economic growth.
In a AAA sovereign credit rating of all countries, Spain is the only recent negative watch by Moody's included in the country. Moody's said that although Spain has launched a fiscal austerity policy and the implementation of structural reforms, but the country's economic growth prospects remain bleak, the banking sector health worrying.
In addition, Moody's emphasized that the increase in public debt, get AAA rating means that all countries rising financing costs will be more sensitive. Moody's said the "potential interest rate shock is the affordability of the national debt rated AAA biggest threat", particularly the U.S. vulnerable.
The EU intends to implement the new regulatory accounting deficit
Apart from the fiscal austerity policy, the EU's budget deficit to consider stricter accounting methods. 17 night, including Sweden, Poland and Hungary, including nine EU member states called on the European Commission in calculating the national budget deficit of the pension system reform should take into account the cost. These countries believe that the current deficit is calculated by the implementation of pension reforms that have been the country's "severe punishment."
The nine-nation joint letter to European Commission and European Commission President Van Rompuy said that the current members of the excessive debt, reform the pension system on fiscal consolidation is essential and that the deficit calculated on the current pension system reform has been a member of the implementation of unfair. Czech Republic, Romania, Slovakia, Bulgaria, Lithuania and Latvia have signed this letter.
Analysts said that if the pension system reform, cost, will reduce the pension reform has been implemented which country's budget deficit, while increasing the deficit is not the level of Member States to implement reforms. Germany has said that the deficit calculated on a proposal to change the skeptical, the government officials that since the national approach to reform the pension system and the costs are borne by different EU countries is difficult to measure the data uniform. The EU said it would analyze the proposed research, and in a few days to reply.
At present, EU member states are still difficult task of deficit reduction. European Central Bank and the Irish Central Bank governing Han 17 Honorine said deficit reduction, fiscal consolidation consistent with the interests of the EU. UBS has issued a report entitled "Future of the Euro," the study warned that the credit crisis and economic recession has severely damaged the credibility of the euro, the EU Member States fiscal deficit and public debt soaring over the long term, the euro area may need restructuring.
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