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The following article was published in our article directory on July 30, 2010.
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Article Category: Business
Author Name: xia zihui
New Deal implemented in the real estate after 3 months, the real estate market once again raises the topic of general concern. There are indications that the New Deal in China's real estate is at "crossroads", the real estate market regulation also appears that the state of dilemma.
It is undeniable that since mid-April, with the implementation of the New Deal real estate, real estate market since 2009, the situation of overheating some degree of cooling, an important manifestation of Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen and other large first-tier cities real estate market turnover down, and this situation is still sluggish trading continued. At the same time, we should clearly recognize that the effects of this round of real estate control policies are not very good so far, its performance is outstanding in the market volume is declining, as the regulation does not target the real estate market prices significant decline, particularly in front-line cities, housing prices are still high. That being the case, the real estate market regulation policy should be further strengthened. However, the domestic and international economic situation, the re-housing complex Queshi existing regulatory policies face more severe external economic environment. Not only to the debt crisis in some EU countries may affect the world economic recovery, thereby affecting our economic development, but the second quarter of China's economic growth rate of Xia Xiang Ye have spurred increasing impact the real estate market downturn Chixu growth concerns. As a result, the current real estate market into a control policy inevitably awkward dilemma: progress, may help to reduce the unrealistically high home prices, stabilize low-income induced by high rates of anxiety and discontent, but the real estate market downturn is inevitable impact on economic growth; back, although the real estate market is conducive to the prosperity and economic growth, but will make the real estate policy through regulation, not only lose the trust of the people, as well as possible retaliatory price rise increasing the real estate market bubble and macroeconomic vulnerability.
The author believes that this embarrassing situation of real estate control the formation of the special nature of real estate and real estate pillar industries to bring the inevitable result of overlapping localization. As we all know, housing is a purely consumer durable goods and automotive and other various special products with multiple attributes, it is an essential consumer goods to any person, but also can be used to invest in the investment goods. Residential property makes these two different weight classes for real estate prices are very different aspirations. Absolute advantage on the number of low-income people do not want too high a price squeeze out the basic needs of housing consumption; number of small but holds most of the wealth of high-income rising house prices have hoped to achieve most of its real estate investment value. Residential nature of this diversity and bring the conflict, but also by the pillar industries of real estate managed to strengthen the positioning, and ultimately rise to the dilemma of regulating the real estate market. Yin Wei, 在 pillar Chanye their property Zuowei circumstances, certainly around this pillar Dalifazhan Shang Wei Rao lower Gezhong industry (some statistics over real estate related industries have more than 50), You Cipian Xingcheng the Yi Real Estate industry as the core of the industrial structure and industrial chain, which Chanyejiegou determine where China's economic growth and revenue in real estate and related industries highly dependent. In the real estate industry and GDP, the local financial revenue tied too tight, showing a prospering harmed relations cases, in order to achieve GDP growth of local revenue and objectively requires the real estate market continued to boom and prices continue to up. Thus, any real estate control policies are bound to face a conflicting choice: in order not to undermine the basic most low-income housing consumption demand, to take stringent measures to prevent excessive price increases; and to increase high-income residents, especially those of "property income" and local revenue, boost GDP growth, but also maintain the prosperity of the real estate and real estate market to prevent real estate prices continue to slump. Faced with this contradiction, any control policies are bound to seem at a loss. China Real Estate Deal 3 months after the implementation of emerging dilemma dilemma is reflected in the reality of this conflict. Can be expected, if such conflicts are not resolved, the future of the real estate market in both control policy decisions will continue to swing.
That being the case, I believe that regulation of the real estate market to get rid of the dilemma, to be a fundamental solution to housing problems of qualitative and real estate location. Qualitative terms for residential, must be emphasized as a basic consumer goods, property, restore its true colors as a basic consumer goods, and not to "increase people's property income" in the name of too much emphasis on the properties of their investment products to prevent real estate excessive speculation in the market; to locate the real estate industry, the pillar industry should re-examine its position, change the real estate industry and GDP, local revenue tied tight situation, and in the process focus on cultivating new economic growth, economic structure and industrial structure to optimize.
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